TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c11,765$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,486.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under67c9,033$6,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,043.8242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over42c2,884$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Under76c2,531$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.986048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Under72c2,100$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.8133749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over34c2,022$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.6493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over39c1,897$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.031,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,606$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under51c1,543$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.385349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over72c1,240$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.59887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under52c1,161$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.3510944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c1,051$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.931,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under77c1,046$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.5411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over27c1,027$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6447354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Under53c1,024$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104719.1%9 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c983.98$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under53c844$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.325937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over71c778.69$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8418853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under72c725.29$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.2725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over48c650.4$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.215446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c646.17$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under30c641.1$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0127463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over28c560.75$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1325954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c548.49$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.64355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c535.44$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.961,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under57c534.3$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2521848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Under29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over30c499.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9811437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under44c499.15$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.641,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under56c461.33$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under71c447.43$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under48c436$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under51c428.73$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6165630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over50c411.92$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under74c405.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over35c401.89$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Over31c399.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.991338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Over30c380.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.021127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c374.12$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.861,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over27c340.45$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c301.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c301.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22216750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over48c294.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.417152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under77c279.52$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under31c272.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.214237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over53c256.12$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3736051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under54c249.94$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df9…d4b5backed Over29c242.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over29c241.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.381225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over58c226.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.925971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under63c220.34$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under73c213.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over76c210.55$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7110146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.916429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over45c197$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c185.39$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over27c179.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8511145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under61c173.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under56c166.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.36038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under37c163$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under29c162.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over41c160.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8525944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over34c150.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under49c147.23$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Over41c144.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under53c142$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2653945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over45c141.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1715648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under73c137.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Under43c134.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5813021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over44c133.44$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over45c133.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.421953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over36c129.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.491,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over44c129.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4211555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdbc…1545backed Under77c126.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.062259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Over68c124.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.966141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c122.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.972,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c112.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c109.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Over45c105.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.474961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Over70c105.04$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.652441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over39c102.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.717154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under71c102.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under77c100.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under77c100.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3921046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under67c99.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9945544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf9…d796backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under26c95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Over34c93.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.65536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4b…0da9backed Over77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.914658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over36c90.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0627553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c90.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.