TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2ab…8432

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6838.2%26 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$154.24
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$243.64
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$243.18
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+296.8%+$445.24
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$80.49
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$38.65
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,814Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$4,992.29
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+407.4%+$13,100.7
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$85.35
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+229.4%+$344.03
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$338.21
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,505.77
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$474.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+39%+$954.7
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.51
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$918.61
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$164.75
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$168.93
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+84%+$874.01
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.8
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$313.78
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.38
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$1,595.32
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$158.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.