UFC · resolved market
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc1e2c185cad730969d91c50f455f34b4745da7fd5b6a5519aabfa99ffeb395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ciryl Ganeof Ciryl Gane, Alex Pereira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,005,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,227,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,005,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Alex Pereira | 52c | 1,425,224$738,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738,891.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ciryl Gane | 47c | 438,592$208,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230,544.77 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 391,556$189,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,918.08 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 354,670$179,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,135.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 349,998$172,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,499.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 339,125$166,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,953.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +244.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 298,661$147,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,379.57 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Alex Pereira | 50c | 243,049$121,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,524.61 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Alex Pereira | 52c | 240,000$125,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,075.76 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 194,150$99,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,617.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Alex Pereira | 50c | 190,000$94,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,892.08 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 184,813$89,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,365.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 159,050$81,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,050.62 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…1a33backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 150,729$76,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,871.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Ciryl Gane | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,499.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Ciryl Gane | 51c | 147,231$75,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,143.28 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 144,462$69,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,120.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 142,437$69,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,619.3 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 127,428$61,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,197.47 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…59dbbacked Alex Pereira | 49c | 127,242$62,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,568.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 118,636$60,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,504.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 107,641$51,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,201.17 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 89,509$43,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,208.3 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 74,158$36,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,516.92 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 73,650$35,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,709.98 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…d3d8backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 70,725$36,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,064.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 60,828$29,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,392.58 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ciryl Gane | 48c | 55,000$26,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,699.96 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 54,089$26,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,135.56 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 52,724$25,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,889.22 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 50,000$24,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,015.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Alex Pereira | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 49,999$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 48,294$24,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,630.1 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 47,274$22,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,582.66 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 46,003$22,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,330.66 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Ciryl Gane | 48c | 45,634$21,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,729.72 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 45,164$22,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,620.88 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 44,443$21,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,666.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 44,393$21,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,084.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 41,680$20,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,673.38 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Ciryl Gane | 48c | 41,015$19,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,327.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 39,210$19,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,996.9 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Ciryl Gane | 50c | 37,921$18,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,143.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 33,595$16,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,469.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Alex Pereira | 53c | 33,217$17,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,605 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 32,257$15,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,328.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Ciryl Gane | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Alex Pereira | 50c | 29,583$14,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,791.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Alex Pereira | 50c | 27,742$13,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,910 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 27,689$13,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,121.36 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 26,795$12,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,933.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Ciryl Gane | 48c | 25,921$12,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,478.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…bb53backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…1547backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 24,970$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,734.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Ciryl Gane | 51c | 24,042$12,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,775.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Alex Pereira | 55c | 22,374$12,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,282.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 22,000$10,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,440 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Ciryl Gane | 51c | 21,200$10,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…fc3dbacked Ciryl Gane | 50c | 20,612$10,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,319.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Ciryl Gane | 48c | 20,400$9,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Alex Pereira | 52c | 20,264$10,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,535 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 20,000$10,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,280 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Ciryl Gane | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.98 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Ciryl Gane | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 19,731$9,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,865.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…992cbacked Alex Pereira | 50c | 19,673$9,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,836.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…453ebacked Ciryl Gane | 50c | 19,647$9,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,823.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…8fc3backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 19,098$9,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,739.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…e126backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 19,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Alex Pereira | 49c | 18,000$8,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.89 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 17,730$8,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,043.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 16,637$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,486.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 16,600$8,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,466 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ciryl Gane | 49c | 16,500$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,414.8 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 15,960$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.97 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Ciryl Gane | 50c | 15,728$7,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,863.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Alex Pereira | 51c | 15,610$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…9d17backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 15,387$7,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,826.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 15,000$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Alex Pereira | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alex Pereira | 40c | 14,901$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,935.35 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe099…9fc3backed Alex Pereira | 53c | 14,844$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 14,386$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,337.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Alex Pereira | 53c | 14,249$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Alex Pereira | 51c | 14,027$7,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,194.17 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Ciryl Gane | 57c | 13,979$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Ciryl Gane | 49c | 13,862$6,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,071.04 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…c1efbacked Ciryl Gane | 51c | 13,484$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Ciryl Gane | 48c | 12,798$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.38 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.