UFC · resolved market
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e808c629f7bc6f4c8256eabc1aaa5a36c93704fe341c729dfc4ec7e59f260ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 8,312$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.14 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 30c | 6,678$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.81 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 67c | 4,037$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.31 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 3,471$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.81 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 1,843$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.92 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 74c | 1,560$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.39 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 25c | 1,507$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.37 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…81ecbacked Yes | 27c | 1,299$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +266.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 24c | 1,228$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…e9d4backed Yes | 26c | 1,146$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 72c | 1,115$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.73 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 159 | 60.4%96 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Yes | 24c | 1,028$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6067…55fcbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 27c | 527.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…f27bbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 432.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 73c | 428.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…522dbacked Yes | 28c | 426.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…5b47backed Yes | 25c | 400.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 73c | 341.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…e42fbacked Yes | 25c | 333.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +459.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 65c | 316$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…3ef4backed Yes | 28c | 310.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…b3d7backed Yes | 33c | 303.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…a40ebacked Yes | 25c | 287.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…bb86backed Yes | 33c | 245.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 25c | 230$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes | 24c | 215.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…d42abacked Yes | 25c | 201.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…15eabacked Yes | 26c | 195.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…ae0ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…65cebacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 70c | 159.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…ec18backed Yes | 33c | 151.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +71%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…8f97backed Yes | 26c | 141.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +194.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…2e00backed No | 80c | 125.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 72c | 120.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…6be9backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…255abacked Yes | 31c | 99.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Yes | 25c | 97.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…f0e5backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…d2f5backed Yes | 29c | 93.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…510ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…bda6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…53c1backed Yes | 27c | 68.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 17c | 66.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…8051backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c3a1backed Yes | 31c | 61.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236c…d0e7backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f6…5ef4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…70b8backed Yes | 27c | 51.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb3…7f06backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 71c | 47.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…9563backed Yes | 31c | 43.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…bde7backed Yes | 30c | 43.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…234fbacked Yes | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…86b5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…551fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…d356backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +262.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…a9a0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 72c | 35.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…05bebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…11acbacked No | 72c | 27.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…944bbacked No | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…fc3dbacked No | 71c | 17.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 17.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane won
- Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.