UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fae46d04e82a5b64aa9dc24d6bd902e93046edbc0fe0086347bde40dab826e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…12c3backed No | 66c | 10,571$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 35c | 7,086$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Yes | 34c | 6,142$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 65c | 5,994$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.97 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 2,970$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.59 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked No | 70c | 2,852$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.59 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,737$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.72 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 2,563$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.38 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked No | 66c | 2,443$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked No | 76c | 2,151$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.82 | 54 | 92.6%50 W · 4 L | +20.8wins | +0.39per pick | 54cpaid | +361.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…fcc5backed No | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 68c | 897.5$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed No | 68c | 816.17$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a02cbacked No | 66c | 774$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked No | 66c | 735$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 35c | 562.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 35c | 554.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Yes | 37c | 542.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 67c | 504.17$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked No | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…20fbbacked Yes | 37c | 492.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Yes | 35c | 476.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 64c | 461.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…a2f1backed No | 66c | 455$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…a6bdbacked No | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1a63backed No | 66c | 439.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 65c | 422.17$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…6cf1backed No | 68c | 400.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked No | 66c | 399.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 65c | 399.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…7508backed Yes | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked No | 63c | 325.57$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed No | 66c | 298.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…a978backed Yes | 37c | 297.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…b0ecbacked Yes | 36c | 286.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…e7cabacked No | 65c | 249.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 110 | 78.2%86 W · 24 L | +15.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed No | 68c | 243.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed No | 65c | 217.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 31c | 195.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 44c | 170.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…d70dbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…2cd2backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked No | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…dc80backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7161…ad39backed Yes | 35c | 138.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Yes | 36c | 137.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…2c1dbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 63c | 119.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…a81ebacked No | 64c | 106.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Yes | 36c | 106.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked No | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…79fbbacked Yes | 35c | 95.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Yes | 36c | 91.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…6771backed Yes | 36c | 86.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…0670backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 30c | 74.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…b2e0backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…b947backed No | 67c | 69.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…b331backed Yes | 35c | 67.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…17afbacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cc…ed79backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 69c | 60.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…0934backed Yes | 35c | 57.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked No | 67c | 57.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…16c4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…2918backed No | 66c | 55.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…bc73backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked No | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…9ac9backed No | 70c | 55.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d9…bd0abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…f48abacked No | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane won
- Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.