TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3722…1f0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT6150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.2
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.99
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$1,465
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$223.9
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$252.22
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.32
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,651Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$5,216.76
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$218
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.22
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$439.05
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,079.96
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714.98
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.68
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.22
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.97
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.61
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$382.5
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$606
76ers vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$4,808.94
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.83
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$62.22
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.2
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$140.86
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$168.9
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$206
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$77.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+614.3%+$106.3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$220.89
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$80.25
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+45%+$97.02
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+344.4%+$620
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66.3
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$164.09
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.44
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.41
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.26
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+334.8%+$385
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$198
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-67%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$7.27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.7
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.48
ChatGPT Outage by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$96.99
Will Trump say "Anthropic" or "Woke" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,521.77
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.71
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$155.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.