TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…67a6backed No2c22,286$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.582061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dfd…cfa8backed No7c16,990$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9936…c1a9backed No49c16,650$8,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,082.41625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed No0c12,359$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.058327.7%23 W · 60 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…35a7backed No4c11,828$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.63823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c11,712$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.567663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed No5c9,099$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.31425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No11c9,055$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.31573.5%2 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked No0c8,855$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.712147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…dd70backed No3c8,506$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.812429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked No20c8,434$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.894520%9 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No5c7,024$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.814617.4%8 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5946…b449backed No1c6,642$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca4…f2d4backed No2c5,657$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.892030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3546…c697backed No3c5,622$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No3c5,150$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.23283%10 W · 318 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Yes56c5,143$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.31827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a4…8178backed No15c5,113$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.492520%5 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17bb…7743backed No0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60bb…a448backed No1c5,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-67.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…6207backed No4c4,448$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb67…d696backed No46c4,260$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.497270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked No13c4,069$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4710320.4%21 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb6…f165backed No1c3,750$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+114.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff2…2be4backed No5c3,685$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.02170%0 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No6c3,506$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.171910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf373…e01fbacked No31c3,488$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb60c…8e81backed No4c3,426$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…e7b4backed No0c3,379$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155425.9%14 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841b…a8f0backed No2c3,288$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…1774backed Yes64c3,266$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes78c3,196$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…59a8backed No1c3,086$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaba…e07dbacked No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e30…d732backed Yes72c2,935$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.821450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…ffd4backed No15c2,852$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.877431.1%23 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked No3c2,822$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.09766.6%5 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…931bbacked No30c2,800$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…659cbacked No0c2,645$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No38c2,642$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.171637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No1c2,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75932.2%2 W · 91 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-80.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked No1c2,300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.43727%10 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dc…35f9backed No16c2,276$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No1c2,260$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.882119%4 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-49.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No5c2,219$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.882541.6%4 W · 250 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No31c2,188$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.527126.8%19 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3809…b6acbacked No46c2,165$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked No13c2,137$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.227919%15 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed No12c2,100$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…2efbbacked No33c2,084$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.431030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ae…e85dbacked No5c2,057$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ac…6ac9backed Yes60c2,000$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d1…8c37backed No1c2,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No2c1,984$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9110336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87e3…d0debacked No1c1,975$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-81.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No8c1,974$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.312333.4%8 W · 225 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981d…ed7fbacked Yes66c1,910$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.478744.8%39 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x691c…e0aabacked No16c1,900$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b90…c944backed No1c1,842$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0719…c6b9backed No2c1,837$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No8c1,803$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.463495.7%20 W · 329 L-25.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-66.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c78…13edbacked Yes58c1,799$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.361618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No13c1,754$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.069645.8%44 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1156…cf5ebacked No8c1,695$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23de…89d4backed No4c1,669$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d3…7471backed No9c1,633$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.961136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+405.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No4c1,605$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.742442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb157…958abacked Yes65c1,545$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No2c1,522$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.719352.7%49 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d6f…aa99backed No3c1,515$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No5c1,482$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.312377.2%17 W · 220 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked No42c1,475$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.353534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed No3c1,458$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53510%0 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c09…59debacked No2c1,456$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed No3c1,409$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.858017.5%14 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3f…5e3abacked No1c1,375$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f4…9ed0backed No6c1,371$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.514235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed No1c1,365$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41662.4%4 W · 162 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…124abacked No22c1,329$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2710338.8%40 W · 63 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd94…e705backed Yes65c1,303$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c3…a48fbacked No3c1,285$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7af…efb7backed No4c1,281$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked No3c1,271$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.58400%0 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes18c1,222$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.342020%4 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…46cfbacked No4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab1…5ae4backed No14c1,213$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1672927.6%8 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed No1c1,210$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1244.2%1 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick21cpaid-88.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.151541.9%3 W · 151 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d5…8a0bbacked No8c1,195$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…c371backed No3c1,168$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc75…a292backed No4c1,158$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…b94abacked Yes78c1,138$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.96137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-90.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3290…f4bdbacked No20c1,124$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.32821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa462…cd56backed No5c1,089$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked No3c1,063$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd6…3824backed No5c1,029$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7337…a189backed Yes60c1,006$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.96560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ce…03c5backed No55c1,004$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.517657.9%44 W · 32 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2eef…d213backed No3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.