TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaaf7…2e27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,602
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Earnings, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 56 out of 100; worst Stocks at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2282.6%6 W · 222 L+0.6wins0.00per pick2cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 228 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.13
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$49.82
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.14
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+6,051.1%+$2,070.96
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Showing 25 of 228 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1754%7 W · 168 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+2,567.6%+$278.92
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.17
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,134.2%+$204.7
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1664.2%7 W · 159 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+550.6%+$211.57
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.49
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1662.4%4 W · 162 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+3,672.3%+$532.89
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+9,261%+$1,468.18
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Will StandX launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.64
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.43
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1114.5%5 W · 106 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.02
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+3,812.7%+$2,164.32
Will "Sinners" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.48
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will "Frankenstein" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT736.8%5 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Mira Nair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.27
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.84
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.54
Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.55
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.63
Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.51
Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.78
Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyler Murray be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.03
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.51
Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Will Robbie Williams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.69
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.96
Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.26
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.94
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.38
Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.38
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.56
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.9
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT525.8%3 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid-43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.2m & 14.4m square kilometers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.09
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.62
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.42
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST420%0 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.86
Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.32
Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.38
Will Japan win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.96
Will China win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Switzerland win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Will Italy win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will Jamaica record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.01
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.76
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.84
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.59
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.78
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.21
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.87
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.46
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+166.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Negative GDP growth in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will the US lose jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.08
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.94
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT382.6%1 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.87
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+1,018.6%+$121.11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT319.7%3 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+352.6%+$43.37
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+394.1%+$100.14
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+502.3%+$156.47
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.42
Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.77
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.06
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.14
Will there be zero announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.03
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$49.37
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$69.05
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT293.4%1 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,969.2%+$303.98
Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.37
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.13
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57.89
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.24
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.82
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.69
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.77
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.79
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.73
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.43
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28.79
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.69
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.09
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.66
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.44
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.54
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.43
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.63
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Hong Kong have less than 150mm of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.81
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.57
Will Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.74
Will Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT254%1 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-77%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+474.6%+$68.53
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.94
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.46
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$221.05
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.59
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.85
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.3
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.32
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.69
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.53
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT254%1 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-55.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,011.2%+$195.03
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.02
Will Furia win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
Will another team win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will PARIVISION win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will The MongolZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
Will MOUZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will Natus Vincere win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will G2 Esports win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will G2 Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Will Aurora Gaming win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.93
Will Astralis win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.7
Will FaZe Clan win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will FUT Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
Will The MongolZ win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.49
Will Team Liquid win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Danil "donk" Kryshkovets win the HLTV Player of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Will molodoy finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%0 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Will Sanna Nielsen win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.08
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.39
Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.06
Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will MUTT (Leon Thomas) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be less than 75k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.73
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$62.87
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$68.93
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Australian Open Men's: Vitaliy Sachko vs Liam Draxlbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Hobart International, Qualification: Ava Beck vs Simona Waltertbacked Beck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be 2,000,000 voters or greater?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Nicholas Plumb be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.28
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
All 14 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will Tiger Woods win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.22
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
Will Andoni Iraola be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.92
Will Cesc Fabregas be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-89.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Lighter reach $4.50 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Lighter reach $4.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Solana dip to $80 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will XRP dip to $1.30 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.45
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.18
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Will Solana dip to $100 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.41
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.17
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will BNK FEARX win the LCK Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.37
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will GIANTX win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.62
Will Team Vitality win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Will Natus Vincere win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.15
Will Fnatic win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.48
Will Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+448.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Will Zimbabwe win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Sri Lanka win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Will Afghanistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Bangladesh win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Paarl Royals Winnerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick3cpaid+410.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+1,230%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+2,560%+$307.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tundra Esports win PGL Wallachia Season 7? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.