CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ee08b9b82809d7aa96d2b1177f9d483056097d3413bd395f6c746c81eb1ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 8c | 1,604$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,464$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 1,367$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 7c | 844.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 10c | 807.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 727.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 6c | 520.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…ac5dbacked Yes | 17c | 480.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Yes | 9c | 401.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 9c | 323.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed Yes | 6c | 299.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Yes | 9c | 223$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…09bdbacked Yes | 18c | 211.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464b…06f5backed Yes | 10c | 209.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…a0cabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…f0b0backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 11c | 199.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 6c | 183.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 6c | 178.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed No | 75c | 164.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 12c | 133.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…b332backed Yes | 8c | 125.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…d11bbacked Yes | 13c | 108.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…f6f3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will another team win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.