CS2 · resolved market
Will Natus Vincere win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e05987523151b80007a04fd93b3dd8c843d57fd981327e7efedc51444b93c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 1,339$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 4c | 1,136$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Yes | 6c | 1,062$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 3c | 894.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…57adbacked Yes | 4c | 820$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Yes | 4c | 630$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 578.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 560.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 4c | 548.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…d381backed Yes | 4c | 547$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Yes | 4c | 522.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 4c | 515.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…e7e1backed Yes | 4c | 499.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 441.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a9…b00bbacked Yes | 4c | 431$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…890cbacked Yes | 6c | 418.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Yes | 3c | 380.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…f02cbacked Yes | 4c | 302$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Yes | 4c | 299.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…a0cabacked Yes | 5c | 229.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natus Vincere win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?this page
- Will 3DMAX win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Astralis win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will FURIA win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will FaZe Clan win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will G2 Esports win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will MOUZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Team Falcons win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
- Will another team win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.