TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24d2…92c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
334
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT12638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.52
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,491.1
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.1
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.5
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.42
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$220.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$310.49
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.61
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.33
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.88
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$341.78
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$351
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.15
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.08
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.72
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,253.88
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$453.6
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.5
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+76.8%+$304
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.75
Moreno vs. Ercegbacked Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.61
Torres vs. Doberbacked Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Cháirez vs. Vergarabacked Vergara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Rodríguez vs. Borjasbacked Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$108.16
Leon Edwards vs. Sean Bradybacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergbacked Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.95
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere backed Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla backed Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$147
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos Stanosbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomarbacked Bannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76.02
Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán Loughranbacked Fletcher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$87
Turner vs. Bahamondesbacked Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36
Lemos vs. Lucindobacked Lucindo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruyabacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$29.25
Kape vs. Almabayevbacked Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$23.25
Brundage vs. Marquezbacked Marquez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.65
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$102
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.49
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.4
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.6
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$34.4
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
US congress stock trading ban in Trump's first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.54
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$308
Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.78
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+54.5%+$32.68
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+117.8%+$64.9
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid+46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$481.93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$330.97
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.4%+$136.94
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$256.71
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.17
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+59.7%+$56.1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.6%+$33.25
Will Sam Altman say "Terminator" or "Movie" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41.16
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.31
Will Sam Altman say "Polymarket" or "Bet" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+373%+$78.86
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.04
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.98
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$368.14
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Cursor support Grok-3 before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.1
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+137%+$60.85
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$190
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.5%+$15.92
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+177.7%+$192.99
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$172
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$324.48
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.94
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,040.9
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.75
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+270.4%+$37.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+214.6%+$320.9
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+560%+$25,725.44
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+525%+$84
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.84
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$578.25
Canada election called by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.34
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+54.4%+$45.8
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trudeau resigns before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49.83
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$112.82
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$60.99
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41.28
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+185.7%+$26.16
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.4
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.22
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.58
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+101.9%+$15.28
Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$115.44
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.62
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+407.2%+$562
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+85.1%+$297.41
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.2
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$52.21
French Open: Svitolina vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$107
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.39
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$244
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$88.94
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$13.3
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$55
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-72.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$235
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$149.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.