Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54dbf2ab4001bfc7edc15b0708e03b320a88997a229abe060a1304b829b71c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 13c | 18,738$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 20c | 14,201$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.15 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 13c | 10,833$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.26 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 15c | 10,109$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 7c | 8,117$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 7,851$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.6 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…bd80backed Yes | 5c | 7,328$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 17c | 5,798$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.42 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 9c | 5,478$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,665$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 17c | 4,425$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.4 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 4c | 4,236$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…4b00backed Yes | 5c | 3,731$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed Yes | 12c | 3,606$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed No | 70c | 3,535$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.94 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 16c | 2,538$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Yes | 14c | 2,450$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 14c | 2,248$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 2,154$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 7c | 2,025$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…4b5ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 80c | 1,827$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.38 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 27c | 1,825$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.07 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…e75cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,730$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 11c | 1,600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,242$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 9c | 1,241$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,207$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 20c | 1,204$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 5c | 1,103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,051$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 16c | 1,049$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 24c | 1,040$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +279.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…c1c2backed Yes | 5c | 1,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 5c | 1,030$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 3c | 1,023$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 16c | 916$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…e2f5backed Yes | 7c | 905.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 903.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e3…9d7ebacked Yes | 22c | 846.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…966ebacked Yes | 12c | 846.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked No | 72c | 838.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…294ebacked Yes | 8c | 804.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 79c | 800.49$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 12c | 732.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 718.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 15c | 717.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 17c | 685.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed No | 78c | 600.99$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…16b4backed Yes | 16c | 600$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 12c | 574.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7343…59b6backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed Yes | 27c | 554.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…05b5backed Yes | 11c | 549.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 80c | 514.09$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 6c | 497$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked Yes | 11c | 492$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 16c | 479.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed Yes | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…4b04backed Yes | 4c | 410.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…d07cbacked Yes | 5c | 410.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 20c | 407.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 13c | 393.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…00fcbacked No | 78c | 366.36$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 19c | 350$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 17c | 343.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 18c | 342.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed Yes | 6c | 334.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 74c | 330$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 27c | 324.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…331ebacked Yes | 17c | 309.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fb…e73abacked Yes | 5c | 305.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 9c | 305$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 60c | 297.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…d1fcbacked Yes | 19c | 268.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 19c | 257.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…074abacked Yes | 4c | 243.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…7e0fbacked Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 35c | 220$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…8c83backed Yes | 45c | 211.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…f1c7backed Yes | 5c | 190.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 78c | 175.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…1ccfbacked Yes | 15c | 168.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 72c | 162.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked No | 62c | 160.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.