TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6a3…fc02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
434
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT8234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+63%+$49.23
Will Jaxson Dart be the third QB taken in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Will 1 QB get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Jaxson Dart get drafted in the First Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$9.23
Will the Giants draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will the Patriots draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.63
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.76
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.64
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$105.85
Will 115-120 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29.44
Will there be a streaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+37.1%+$190.06
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+85.8%+$81.43
Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+36.4%+$13.18
Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+41.4%+$23.2
Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.88
Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.26
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 2+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.71
Will the Chiefs commit a roughing the passer penalty in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+38.5%+$37.5
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.93
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST6842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$227.22
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.16
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.15
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+93.9%+$41.25
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.68
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.28
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,369.2
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,004.56
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.84
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$33.09
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+91.6%+$36.9
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.5%+$44.29
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.81
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,985.35
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$23.87
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+144%+$197.55
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.34
Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.41
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.14
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$843.06
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$25.78
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+85.6%+$78.95
TikTok sale announced before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+55%+$554.08
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.86
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$18.3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.04
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.37
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.9
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$21.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$20.63
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$15.51
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$12.09
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 61-62°F on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.64
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$240.02
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,574Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,760.21
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,241.05
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.62
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$169.41
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$422.06
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$229.13
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,048.26
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,357.49
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$2,028.88
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.56
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,511
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$22.25
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160.9
Mount St. Mary's s vs. Dukebacked MSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.59
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$53
Robert Morris vs. Alabamabacked Robert Morris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$3,478.36
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,349.34
Utah State vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.68
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,249.99
Wofford vs. Tennesseebacked Wofford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.22
Georgia vs. Gonzagabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.01
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$784.72
Wisconsin vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+163.6%+$38.79
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2025, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.01
Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$74.8
Will 'Novocaine' gross less than 7m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 7-9m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.71
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross less than 3m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+29%+$77.65
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$188.51
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+44.4%+$23.3
Will 'The Brutalist' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$151.16
Will 'The Brutalist' win 4-5 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+32.4%+$15.49
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$547.89
Will 'The Brutalist' win 6+ Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will "The Brutalist" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+44.1%+$54.55
Will 'The Brutalist' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+26.5%+$15.4
Will 'The Brutalist' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39.84
Will "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+56.8%+$34.84
Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+82.2%+$130.19
Will "The Only Girl in the Orchestra" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$128.03
Will "Incident" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+32.3%+$55.34
Will "Wicked" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$197.03
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$107.03
Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+148.6%+$272.63
Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$305.16
Will "The Substance" win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$77.06
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3020%6 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.06
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+238%+$62.37
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.21
Will the Greens be part of the next German government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$125.22
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.18
Will the Green Party win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.11
Will the Green Party win 2 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$12.53
Will the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.56
Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.98
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.59
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.26
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.1
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.88
Yoon released from custody before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$166.57
Will Trump lower automobile tariffs on Canada/Mexico by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75.66
Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240.78
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$89.35
Will average US gas price hit $3.50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.09
Will Donald Trump say Pay 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$78.41
Will Donald Trump say Climate during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.28
Will Donald Trump say Pond during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$51.5
Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
Will Donald Trump say Putin 3+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25.33
Will Donald Trump say Gaza during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37.5%+$27.62
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$169.53
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$120.99
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+267%+$43.65
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.52
Will Jerome Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Jerome Powell say "Cut" 7 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$24.82
Will Jerome Powell say "Deport" or "Deportation" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.51
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$95.61
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$43.48
Will Jerome Powell say "Growth" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$134.33
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+186.2%+$100.65
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.18
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$87.49
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.87
Will Jerome Powell say "Price" 15 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.71
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 10 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.28
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$126.7
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$425.3
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+36%+$48.26
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+92%+$131.61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+115.5%+$1,235.79
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.12
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$33.3
Zelenskyy impeached before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.11
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+86.6%+$60.08
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$159.83
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$1,295.72
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,178.7
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.46
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.06
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.17
Will Donald Trump say "Crimea" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+37.1%+$9.75
Will Donald Trump say "Dictator" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.83
Will Donald Trump say "Horrible" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.17
Will Donald Trump say "US" or "United States" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+70.1%+$28.02
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 180 or more times on Truth March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will Trump post 100-119 times on Truth March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$43.2
Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Trump post 140-149 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.37
Will Trump post 60-69 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.31
Will Trump post 70-79 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will Trump post 80-89 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will Trump post 50-59 times on Truth March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Kanye tweet 50-99 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.45
Will Trump post 120-129 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.46
Will Trump post 90-99 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.64
Will Trump post 110-119 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28.69
Will Trump post 80-89 times on Truth Feb 28 - March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+27.8%+$4.46
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$55.89
Will Kanye tweet between 600-649 times February 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+199.2%+$109.17
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.5%+$21.78
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+185.6%+$44.59
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+55.1%+$9.1
Will the US add between 50-100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.95
Will the US add between 100-150k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$25.5
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will the US add between 150-200k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between ≥4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$25.68
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moreno vs. Ercegbacked Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.68
Torres vs. Doberbacked Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.64
Rosas Jr. vs. Moralesbacked Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.53
Martínez vs. Oliveirabacked Martínez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$76
Medina vs. Gautierbacked Gautier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$8
Rodriguez vs. Costabacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.5
García vs. Pichelbacked Pichel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.48
Green vs. Ruffybacked Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.33
Robert Trujillo vs. Dakota McGregorbacked McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$241.49
Paige VanZant vs. Mikael-Michelle Brownbacked Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Anthony Defrank vs. Reiley Montoyabacked Montoya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$112.33
Will PSV Eindhoven or Arsenal advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.92
Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Club Brugge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.7
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Lille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+183.3%+$218.85
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Feyenoord · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.11
Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-82%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+264.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$428.01
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trevvy vs. Oblivionbacked Trevvy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.84
Trevvy KO's Oblivion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentinels win the VCT 2025 Americas Kickoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+37.6%+$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.