Token Launches · resolved market
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40966d6cc29422d7fdc6132211d42641060b155f02b72eac30dc67fc33cd8f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd126…267bbacked Yes | 45c | 143,661$64,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,647.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7656backed No | 55c | 143,661$79,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,647.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 66c | 1,225$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.43 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…233cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,087$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…9c78backed Yes | 34c | 952$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Yes | 1c | 900.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 7c | 899.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…fce1backed Yes | 17c | 807$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 58c | 766.62$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 34c | 663.24$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 619.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…71cdbacked Yes | 17c | 565$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…202cbacked Yes | 24c | 558.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +109%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 63c | 549.68$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 75c | 529.81$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 34c | 493.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 36c | 438.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…7101backed Yes | 37c | 348.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 39c | 340.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…379fbacked Yes | 17c | 337$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 331.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20af…efadbacked No | 46c | 306$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…4a67backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…be6dbacked Yes | 17c | 265$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…c096backed Yes | 34c | 253.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…97abbacked No | 71c | 238.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 233.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed No | 61c | 231.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked No | 64c | 208.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…768fbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 14c | 182.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…2a1abacked Yes | 17c | 172$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 17c | 163.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -82%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked No | 66c | 159.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…21dabacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…c7ccbacked No | 50c | 149.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…b435backed No | 69c | 144.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…59dabacked Yes | 35c | 144.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 132$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…1b03backed Yes | 17c | 131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed No | 66c | 125.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 48cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…7891backed Yes | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e8…7a29backed Yes | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…766ebacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…7ab2backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…3f25backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb0…c62cbacked No | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…e1f0backed No | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 79c | 90.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 83.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…a439backed Yes | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…25fbbacked No | 68c | 81.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…0a6dbacked Yes | 21c | 80.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…7d11backed Yes | 16c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…f13fbacked Yes | 16c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…d555backed Yes | 28c | 71.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…8daebacked No | 79c | 69.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +257.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…403fbacked Yes | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…9f4ebacked No | 58c | 63.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…53bdbacked Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…7dc1backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…2f52backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…8299backed Yes | 31c | 57.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cfd3backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…14e1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd99…721cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…f7e4backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…ab20backed Yes | 34c | 48.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2204…5692backed Yes | 34c | 47.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…7d5dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Yes | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 37c | 42.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…08aebacked Yes | 38c | 33.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…6de8backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…8e49backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8774…17f2backed No | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…e5dfbacked No | 67c | 30.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…6ca5backed No | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…f2ddbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…bcddbacked Yes | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3293…f898backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…a2d9backed No | 58c | 27.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…ac8bbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…b4f3backed No | 77c | 24.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 67c | 23.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 51c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 55c | 22.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…8042backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…8ac7backed No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…c380backed No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…5a5cbacked No | 69c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?this page
- Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes won
- Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Astaria airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- MetaMask airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
- Rainbow airdrop in Q1 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.