TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe900…6cdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$72.52
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.35
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+179.9%+$70.7
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Trump cut military spending?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Trump declassifies Diddy list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.52
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$45.81
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+300%+$56.25
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+178.6%+$60.9
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$60.75
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.86
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$63.75
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.84
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$93
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.25
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.69
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+300%+$56.25
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST120%0 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.91
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.47
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.75
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$41.95
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.72
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Israel parliament dissolves by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.52
Israel withdraws from Syria before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
Netanyahu out before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.75
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.25
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$16.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.