TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will De’Andre Hunter win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c13,705$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes0c5,911$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5341227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes21c3,785$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.6872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes15c3,072$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.285127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes21c2,932$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes12c2,840$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.621,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes14c1,506$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.15230.8%16 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes20c1,220$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0417044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No80c887.71$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5422750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes9c834.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0724549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6622…d7a9backed Yes22c772.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+60.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb7b…67c2backed Yes16c722.69$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes22c467.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.56750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes7c455.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.111,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes20c281.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06b0…fcfbbacked Yes16c270$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.590%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No70c225$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.535049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No72c162.69$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.051040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes23c136.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…143fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…77c7backed Yes20c114$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe89…a0babacked Yes19c113.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ce…b4b5backed Yes21c109$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb88…9c4fbacked Yes14c99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes21c93.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.18539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…7f20backed Yes20c81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abc…9126backed Yes22c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…6cdcbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes18c66.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b7…4908backed No78c59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…0aefbacked No79c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf058…47f7backed No80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca7…3444backed No80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x262e…69e9backed No80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0371…ced6backed No80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…dbe6backed No77c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4734246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51de…94febacked No79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.