NBA · resolved market
Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe99cff3cb3b148eae70e2ae5cbc2bb22b94282fbb7e15199ce831c3f1fa1dc16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $810,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,528,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 10c | 3,821$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 8c | 2,972$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 5c | 2,855$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…a1ccbacked Yes | 5c | 2,613$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 2,172$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 3c | 2,060$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…9560backed Yes | 2c | 1,785$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…f6a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,756$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…fcfbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,461$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 933.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…143fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 475.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 447.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 10c | 353.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…517abacked Yes | 15c | 349.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 25c | 290.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 10c | 266.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…8d1cbacked Yes | 11c | 247$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 17c | 221.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…07b8backed Yes | 7c | 156$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 14c | 88.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 28c | 52.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed No | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 70c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…0caabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?this page
- Will Amen Thompson win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will Bobby Portis win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will Buddy Hield win the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will Caris LeVert win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will De’Andre Hunter win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will Moritz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?Yes won
- Will Russel Westbrook win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
- Will Tari Eason win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.