TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6337…1ebb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT18629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 186 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tennessee Titans draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$16.4
Will the Miami Dolphins draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$14.05
Will Rueben Bain Jr be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will Dante Moore be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.9
Will Garrett Nussmeier be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Kyler Murray play for New York Jets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Kyler Murray play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$103.76
Will Justin Tucker sign with an NFL team this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$32.32
Will "Apple" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.63
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will "Blowout" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62.22
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+110.7%+$2,374.65
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55.62
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.06
Will Jordan Love win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$26.95
Will Shemar Stewart be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Will Jalon Walker be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$185.22
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$230.15
Will James Pearce Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$133.31
Will Liam Coen win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Showing 25 of 186 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-88.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$189.9
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$285.02
Will "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$75.17
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$235.26
Will "Emilia Pérez" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.59
Will 'Wicked' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$55.76
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.84
Will "Wicked" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.92
Will "Sugarcane" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Finals G1: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$91
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.44
Will Kenny Atkinson win NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.65
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$57.53
Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.79
Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.24
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Dalton Knecht win NBA Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.95
Will Rudy Gobert win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.