NBA · resolved market
Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4848adc6a61d44dddfac082ad2a588b740163cdab748f8a08dc7068d4109cdd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 24c | 13,573$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330.91 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 28c | 3,833$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.28 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes | 3c | 2,667$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.55 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,167$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 57c | 713.34$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.91 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 23c | 712.63$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.43 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 2c | 665.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +370.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 6c | 569$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.63 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…0086backed Yes | 42c | 542.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked No | 15c | 461.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked No | 77c | 392.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 46c | 354.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d8…ccb9backed Yes | 76c | 303.86$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 30c | 274.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.78 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes | 6c | 240.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.57 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 238$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 70c | 192.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 37c | 169.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…4c14backed No | 13c | 157.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 61c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49a…e4a2backed Yes | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 19c | 135.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…4f0abacked No | 53c | 131$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 25c | 125.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…dbdcbacked Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 78c | 116.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 105.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed Yes | 75c | 102.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…0fedbacked No | 77c | 102.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked No | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…6bf6backed No | 24c | 93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…f9a8backed No | 31c | 90.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 78c | 85.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…47bdbacked No | 71c | 77.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2cc0backed No | 72c | 74.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…0afabacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 26c | 58.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…7acebacked Yes | 79c | 36.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…9755backed Yes | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 70c | 35.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…2be7backed Yes | 76c | 33.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc707…b4a7backed Yes | 76c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…7f0abacked Yes | 72c | 29.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1e…f5b4backed Yes | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706b…79b8backed Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…b605backed Yes | 39c | 27.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…9f1ebacked Yes | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…0596backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…f460backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 19.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.