TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$485,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$446,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c15,684$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.731550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c9,464$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.391978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c8,110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.692130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646b…25dabacked Yes8c7,949$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.4590%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c4…8d95backed Yes8c5,628$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8350%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8109…808cbacked Yes8c4,763$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9180%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x240c…9194backed Yes8c4,298$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdf…66bdbacked Yes8c4,205$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a1…bdebbacked Yes7c3,728$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2650%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes0c3,632$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc8…f325backed Yes8c3,269$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6160%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6145…3d17backed Yes8c3,026$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7151…1a33backed Yes8c2,949$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.35714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae2…8e64backed Yes7c2,808$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb465…cca8backed Yes7c2,770$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked Yes4c2,658$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.835127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…a64ebacked Yes8c2,571$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4350%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddcd…3d8ebacked Yes8c2,436$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.43616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…8f4bbacked Yes8c2,347$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.17616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-28.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43b…1d42backed Yes8c2,333$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…e87dbacked Yes8c1,888$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96db…8a6dbacked Yes8c1,872$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2160%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes10c1,694$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.26113.1%8 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…9549backed Yes8c1,629$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.61520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c1,558$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cd…a5c3backed Yes8c1,421$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.97520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc669…b310backed Yes8c1,407$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd435…f65ebacked Yes7c1,391$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.350%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4077…37d2backed Yes8c1,379$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes6c1,324$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.336113.1%8 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff5…c1a7backed Yes7c1,245$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4769…21a2backed Yes8c1,055$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.78616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…7ae6backed Yes7c1,039$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes7c1,006$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.96586.9%4 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee9…7b9bbacked Yes8c920$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fe…8dc4backed Yes7c830$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.84425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89d…82f9backed Yes6c830$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.71520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc574…1384backed Yes7c830$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b7…f55abacked Yes7c830$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b5…6900backed Yes7c497$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cec…5b56backed Yes6c415$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-72.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…0e58backed Yes7c415$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…8c93backed Yes7c415$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb5…d6aabacked Yes8c415$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+90.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d6…aa2ebacked Yes8c415$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a07…9422backed Yes7c415$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7227…ede8backed Yes7c415$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x071a…5c82backed Yes7c415$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes4c315.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15385.3%2 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-88.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48f…78dbbacked Yes11c175$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6e…f405backed Yes10c175$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a15…6a47backed Yes10c172$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9b…5270backed Yes11c172$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88c…b990backed Yes13c117.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.