NBA · resolved market
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c007887c4a618b41b6a45e66a4b0b901b04b0d13dbe6ddb727ecd326fcea962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $715,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,951$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…66bdbacked Yes | 8c | 15,322$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 71c | 12,457$8,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.63 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 79c | 11,437$9,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007.64 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 3c | 10,052$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +370.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…9194backed Yes | 9c | 9,580$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…25dabacked Yes | 8c | 7,182$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed No | 15c | 7,110$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,043.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…8ad5backed Yes | 8c | 5,748$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…218dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,284$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…808cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,272$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…1d42backed Yes | 8c | 5,266$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…8f4bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,260$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a64ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,796$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…3d8ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,790$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…7b9bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,320$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 67c | 3,890$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.01 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd435…f65ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,838$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…bf5dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,413$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…ac0abacked Yes | 8c | 3,356$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…3d17backed Yes | 9c | 3,356$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…8a6dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,350$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…8d95backed Yes | 8c | 3,350$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 50c | 3,173$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.92 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…f325backed Yes | 9c | 2,874$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…b310backed Yes | 9c | 2,874$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…353abacked Yes | 11c | 2,568$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…390abacked Yes | 10c | 2,568$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc343…0e4dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,568$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,449$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…00b2backed Yes | 9c | 2,414$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…15e4backed Yes | 8c | 2,404$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…6900backed Yes | 8c | 2,404$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…624bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,360$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…50e0backed Yes | 9c | 2,292$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…4729backed Yes | 10c | 2,140$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…c500backed Yes | 8c | 2,072$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 46c | 1,960$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.23 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…9100backed Yes | 9c | 1,934$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…b9fbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,932$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…9514backed Yes | 9c | 1,928$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…8979backed Yes | 8c | 1,916$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…b878backed Yes | 8c | 1,892$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…c079backed Yes | 10c | 1,712$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…59b6backed Yes | 11c | 1,712$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e62…3d5fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,712$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…7746backed Yes | 10c | 1,712$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…38c1backed Yes | 11c | 1,712$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…439abacked Yes | 12c | 1,712$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…1644backed Yes | 10c | 1,701$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…c06ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,659$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 1,612$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.99 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…c536backed Yes | 11c | 1,608$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…ac27backed Yes | 8c | 1,476$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…c63fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,461$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…f9eebacked Yes | 8c | 1,457$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…21a2backed Yes | 8c | 1,440$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…8e64backed Yes | 8c | 1,440$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…f587backed Yes | 9c | 1,440$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…1a33backed Yes | 8c | 1,434$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…e1aebacked Yes | 63c | 1,348$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1576…a1e3backed Yes | 10c | 1,284$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9c08backed Yes | 10c | 1,284$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fef…87afbacked Yes | 10c | 1,284$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…82f9backed Yes | 12c | 1,284$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…aba9backed Yes | 11c | 1,284$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…9e23backed Yes | 11c | 1,284$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…f373backed Yes | 10c | 1,284$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…52b4backed Yes | 11c | 1,284$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…6d37backed Yes | 11c | 1,284$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5d…404ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,284$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…ac99backed Yes | 10c | 1,273$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…6ac7backed Yes | 11c | 1,273$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…ba08backed Yes | 11c | 1,262$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 45c | 1,254$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…fd6abacked Yes | 9c | 1,248$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…f895backed Yes | 11c | 1,180$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…1d4fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,180$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…4ccfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,180$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,160$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.3 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…66e4backed Yes | 9c | 1,158$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2998backed Yes | 9c | 1,147$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…bb1ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,130$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…d231backed Yes | 10c | 1,076$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fb…54cebacked Yes | 8c | 1,059$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…56d8backed Yes | 56c | 984.3$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 32c | 969.06$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…ebb4backed Yes | 8c | 958$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…846cbacked Yes | 8c | 958$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…ae6dbacked Yes | 8c | 956$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…2256backed Yes | 9c | 947$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…de53backed Yes | 8c | 947$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…c835backed Yes | 8c | 944$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…aa80backed Yes | 5c | 939$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed No | 10c | 930.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.68 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 63c | 879.98$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.63 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7260…4466backed Yes | 8c | 862$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded2…a91ebacked Yes | 10c | 856$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?this page
- Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes won
- Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jaden Ivey win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Johnson win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Peyton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.