TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c0c…9d02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT26124.1%63 W · 198 L+1.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 261 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,636.8%+$527.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$94.96
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$82
Showing 25 of 261 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT280%0 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$61.98
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+99.6%+$50.8
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+257.3%+$72.04
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+28%+$28.04
Will Ipswich Town be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Wolverhampton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$46
Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Belgium win Group E?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will England win Group C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$5.79
Will France win Group D?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.02
Will Portugal win Group F?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$23.68
Will France win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win Group B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$24.75
Will Portugal win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Spain win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$49
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$131
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$136.05
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$81.25
Will Progressive Citizens' Party in Liechtenstein win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$36.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2024, EST+53.8%+$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.6%+$28.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon post 50-59 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.