Premier League · resolved market
Will England win Group C?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97587696745eda390f2f350edd200144bab259c4bd4851c3c504e4facbcaf5d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 20c | 977.87$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 21c | 457.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed No | 17c | 339.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…7094backed Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…38d9backed No | 17c | 199.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Yes | 69c | 175.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Yes | 69c | 173.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…d9e5backed Yes | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 29c | 123.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 16c | 120.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…1909backed Yes | 79c | 88.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…90febacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 19c | 65.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2d…ab77backed No | 19c | 63.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a4…b33fbacked No | 19c | 56.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…b297backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a7…2adabacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…6a49backed Yes | 68c | 36.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 67c | 34.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…6a3bbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4d…7138backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…4ccbbacked Yes | 68c | 24.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 67c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win Group C?this page
- Will Denmark win Group C?No won
- Will Serbia win Group C?No won
- Will Slovenia win Group C?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.