Olympics · resolved market
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229698a09fd7f46161a64fbf7983cdff7f1bdbf67f8e9c954a7ac5992be32a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,289,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,034,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,289,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 15c | 197,387$29,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,344.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 0c | 100,342$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…e058backed No | 1c | 79,682$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed No | 14c | 69,608$9,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,525.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 67c | 67,564$45,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,242.93 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 79c | 59,241$46,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,679.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes | 78c | 56,754$44,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…277cbacked No | 26c | 52,079$13,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,574.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 1c | 39,927$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 78c | 38,422$29,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,608.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 75c | 35,976$26,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,084.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 6c | 34,942$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 4c | 33,421$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…92a7backed No | 0c | 32,248$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed No | 3c | 31,130$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Yes | 75c | 31,017$23,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,815.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…0652backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…443bbacked No | 0c | 24,943$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…c75cbacked No | 0c | 23,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 75c | 22,006$16,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…1493backed Yes | 73c | 19,574$14,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…1926backed No | 13c | 16,407$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…dc7fbacked No | 18c | 16,164$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed No | 1c | 16,069$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 74c | 15,331$11,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…2980backed No | 30c | 15,143$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed Yes | 50c | 14,451$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,254.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…7832backed Yes | 74c | 14,123$10,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 77c | 13,350$10,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed No | 6c | 12,225$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 68c | 12,164$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed No | 64c | 11,870$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 17c | 11,799$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.5 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 77c | 10,891$8,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…e416backed Yes | 76c | 10,811$8,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…bd75backed No | 25c | 10,315$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 79c | 10,209$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a20…c0bcbacked Yes | 64c | 10,099$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…43b4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…d066backed Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed No | 14c | 9,906$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 59c | 9,760$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed Yes | 78c | 9,546$7,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 67c | 9,371$6,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 76c | 9,120$6,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 6c | 8,452$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…b5f3backed Yes | 79c | 8,211$6,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 78c | 7,722$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.57 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 15c | 7,649$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5168…9f1fbacked Yes | 78c | 7,481$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed No | 18c | 7,399$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 62c | 7,190$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb346…d135backed No | 8c | 7,107$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 77c | 7,002$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 17c | 6,988$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…156abacked Yes | 80c | 6,912$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…6636backed Yes | 79c | 6,911$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked Yes | 79c | 6,751$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 78c | 6,633$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Yes | 78c | 6,405$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…ac98backed Yes | 74c | 6,352$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 11c | 6,232$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.22 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 19c | 5,895$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…1fcabacked Yes | 79c | 5,577$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Yes | 43c | 5,412$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 9c | 5,289$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 22c | 5,265$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…5d1dbacked No | 59c | 5,096$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 78c | 5,038$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…dad3backed No | 9c | 5,002$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed No | 14c | 5,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…513ebacked No | 24c | 4,971$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 79c | 4,824$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.34 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6124…be69backed Yes | 78c | 4,817$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 7c | 4,776$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked No | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 78c | 4,731$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9052…87ecbacked Yes | 80c | 4,399$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…87babacked Yes | 74c | 4,397$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 45c | 4,046$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 11c | 3,970$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…37eabacked Yes | 78c | 3,943$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff23…2e5ebacked No | 15c | 3,907$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…7b5abacked No | 19c | 3,878$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…5edfbacked Yes | 77c | 3,584$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…c195backed Yes | 76c | 3,512$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…7ebcbacked No | 15c | 3,500$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a55…6a8ebacked No | 34c | 3,407$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 39c | 3,400$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 80c | 3,395$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…9ec9backed Yes | 71c | 3,387$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062c…6159backed No | 8c | 3,354$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 75c | 3,244$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 69c | 3,202$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…683cbacked No | 8c | 3,141$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…504abacked Yes | 77c | 3,141$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…31c7backed No | 31c | 3,077$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed No | 7c | 3,038$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa6…1e75backed Yes | 75c | 3,008$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?this page
- Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.