Olympics · resolved market
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b890631a69bbcfa618a9c1709c9139cc73f64c10f1220d96ec4efce3aed990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,614,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,734,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,614,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 16c | 109,327$17,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,972.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…2980backed Yes | 27c | 90,256$24,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,763.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes | 10c | 62,807$6,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 2c | 59,911$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 2c | 45,963$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes | 18c | 43,177$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,589.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…6c73backed Yes | 2c | 40,553$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 22c | 33,037$7,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,193.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…277cbacked Yes | 24c | 31,681$7,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,759.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…dc7fbacked Yes | 22c | 30,644$6,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…683cbacked Yes | 16c | 29,946$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes | 55c | 27,073$14,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,940.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 24c | 23,940$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…0118backed Yes | 0c | 23,935$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…3525backed Yes | 1c | 23,685$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…8876backed Yes | 1c | 23,498$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,590$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…a3f8backed Yes | 11c | 21,891$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…2dd5backed Yes | 16c | 19,599$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…c195backed Yes | 16c | 19,186$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 2c | 19,029$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…53c9backed Yes | 24c | 18,714$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 19c | 18,409$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…054ebacked Yes | 9c | 18,189$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f199backed Yes | 29c | 17,860$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…7a26backed Yes | 21c | 16,741$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…69bdbacked Yes | 1c | 16,421$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…7d7abacked Yes | 31c | 15,521$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 78c | 15,492$12,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Yes | 12c | 14,598$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…7ebcbacked Yes | 22c | 14,400$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…2547backed Yes | 17c | 14,322$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes | 5c | 14,168$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed Yes | 5c | 13,184$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 18c | 12,994$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 27c | 12,573$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…9795backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed No | 45c | 11,951$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…85a4backed Yes | 2c | 11,803$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…db9dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,404$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…fc5ebacked Yes | 11c | 11,300$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 11,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…bf2abacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…c371backed Yes | 20c | 10,878$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…ca2fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,851$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…e513backed Yes | 19c | 10,781$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked Yes | 11c | 10,760$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 10c | 10,297$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…2aecbacked Yes | 10c | 10,210$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…3db3backed Yes | 0c | 10,069$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 77c | 10,017$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…43b4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8939backed Yes | 22c | 9,914$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Yes | 24c | 9,907$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…1738backed Yes | 35c | 9,862$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…350abacked Yes | 18c | 9,790$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…c4b2backed Yes | 21c | 9,527$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a18…169fbacked Yes | 10c | 9,045$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…732fbacked Yes | 21c | 8,964$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed Yes | 24c | 8,893$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 10c | 8,861$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd351…dddabacked Yes | 3c | 8,670$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 5c | 8,647$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 26c | 8,594$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…146ebacked Yes | 22c | 8,454$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 21c | 8,314$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 27c | 7,857$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 26c | 7,854$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…48f2backed Yes | 27c | 7,528$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked Yes | 39c | 7,045$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…b420backed Yes | 20c | 7,025$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…7a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 7,015$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 27c | 6,969$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Yes | 9c | 6,940$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 8c | 6,719$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 26c | 6,666$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…41c0backed Yes | 23c | 6,554$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed Yes | 15c | 6,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 18c | 6,500$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 17c | 6,444$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…ac46backed Yes | 16c | 6,235$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 78c | 6,185$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a27…dd85backed Yes | 20c | 6,168$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1789…71c0backed Yes | 21c | 6,132$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…de8dbacked Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…efecbacked Yes | 44c | 5,822$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…ebe5backed Yes | 12c | 5,805$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…0b5abacked Yes | 28c | 5,759$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 20c | 5,713$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 71c | 5,524$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 22c | 5,483$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 10c | 5,242$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 23c | 5,175$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacd…c1ebbacked Yes | 25c | 5,131$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 21c | 5,131$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Yes | 26c | 5,046$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 28c | 5,044$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…7620backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…6efbbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?this page
- Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?No won
- USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.