TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb6f…25f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
302
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: College Football, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST7948.1%38 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$81.43
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$87.5
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+194.1%+$165
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,767.45
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,431.89
Will Brock Bowers be the Top Fantasy Tight End for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+39.4%+$24.86
Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$346.5
Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.4
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$629.38
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$82.5
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$86.92
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$267.92
Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$114.33
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$68.85
NFL Sunday Week 9: Will an underdog win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,864.62
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$719,645Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$187,800.11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,059.83
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,106.08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715.76
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.61
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842.46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$7,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,452
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$5,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,918.76
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will three people dissent the March Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$7,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,815.56
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.3
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$796.04
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,549.17
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,089.36
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,342.69
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$365.55
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,802.75
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$123.91
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,509.75
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26%+$81.96
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$3,793.48
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$423.52
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$320
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$247.54
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$396.22
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37.7%+$261.7
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,082.68
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$9,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$9,968.2
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$7.58
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.87
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$239.27
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,447Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+32.4%+$792.65
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30,891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+221.3%+$68,347.8
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90,009.1
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.33
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,527.86
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Trzaskowski or Nawrocki win the diaspora vote?backed Nawrocki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,398.92
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$2,451.21
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25,852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$9,088.11
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+39%+$4,210
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$590.49
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,652Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$632.63
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,333.82
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.34
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19,371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$21,971.86
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27,349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$20,938.98
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,183.59
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$244.88
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$170.11
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+54.2%+$575.77
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$8,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$8,439.66
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$219.39
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$7,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$7,676.76
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+169.7%+$2,339.97
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,591.2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$41,585.13
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$240.47
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+32%+$25.5
Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+51.5%+$751.05
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,653Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+35.6%+$2,370.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-70.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.53
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.1
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110.73
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,005.33
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.03
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.25
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.71
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.37
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$68.05
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,592.17
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.71
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.98
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.56
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.03
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+41.1%+$68.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$885
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.22
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31%+$237
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+124%+$2,933.39
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$723.59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$690
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$2,080
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$434.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$62.24
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,477.18
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.03
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.56
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,617.11
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+66.2%+$111.9
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$44.11
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,559.82
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$8,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,571.94
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.99
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.76
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.92
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.16
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.67
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will SGA attempt 0-2 free throws in the game? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$40
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+100%+$24.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$38.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.86
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+197.5%+$856.27
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$138.94
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.82
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.37
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$61.6
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$81.03
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+988.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Syracuse vs. Georgia Techbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$31.5
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Boise State make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Texas beat Oklahoma by 15 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+9,900%+$1,206.01
Will Texas beat Oklahoma?backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+900%+$132
Will Navy beat Air Forcebacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Texas beat Michigan?backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+30.3%+$134.09
CFB: NDSU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$108
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,699.99
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,790Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$6,209.98
Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$146.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.75
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+63.9%+$39
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$66.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympic Women's Soccer Final: USA vs. Brazilbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$14.7
United States wins Copa America 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2024, EDT+25%+$18.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,014.31
Yankees vs Royals Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+27%+$65.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rongzhu vs. Hubbardbacked Rongzhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+39%+$87.18
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,798.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$899.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$6,749.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.1%+$466.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $120 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Conor McGregor next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.