NBA · resolved market
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc167f00fe58d5a9ef51857aaa9236615a6f8b1b747ffb067c9597735837cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Yes | 23c | 16,490$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.59 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 77c | 13,351$10,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.8 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 77c | 13,300$10,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Yes | 24c | 13,096$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 77c | 10,000$7,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 23c | 9,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 75c | 4,720$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked No | 76c | 4,500$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 77c | 4,416$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.58 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,139$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.69 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,683$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.81 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 2,222$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 22c | 1,941$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…e37cbacked No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 76c | 1,112$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…d776backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 75c | 1,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Yes | 17c | 788$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 23c | 525.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 76c | 499.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 25c | 487.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…7470backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 76c | 370$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…e052backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed No | 78c | 255.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…193bbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…c4ddbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 24c | 245.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 75c | 222.02$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 75c | 205.12$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 77c | 194.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6e…1563backed No | 75c | 176$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…99e7backed Yes | 24c | 155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…65d8backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 77c | 126$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 124.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…0ab9backed No | 77c | 101.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5627…577bbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…a308backed No | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…96d0backed No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…72f0backed No | 78c | 73.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 31c | 64.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…99b8backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…c807backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…6941backed No | 78c | 47.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…d67dbacked Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…cf3abacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked No | 76c | 34.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…54fabacked No | 77c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa9…fdb5backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…ac9cbacked No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16a…6c21backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?this page
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.