NBA · resolved market
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa405c367d716f64112361d0d154e6b0722cb96533f2478e3be20ec922a25357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 39c | 28,703$11,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,416.99 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 49c | 19,200$9,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,778.08 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 73c | 16,382$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.77 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed No | 44c | 10,183$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.12 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 76c | 5,952$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.77 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 28c | 4,550$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes | 25c | 4,366$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 36c | 3,636$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.96 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 24c | 3,334$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.84 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 71c | 3,110$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 28c | 3,062$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 19c | 2,842$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 67c | 2,512$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.6 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 54c | 2,063$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.05 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 31c | 2,055$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.96 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 23c | 1,922$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 1,802$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…d6e4backed No | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.1 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…5403backed Yes | 66c | 1,615$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 66c | 1,533$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…06c7backed Yes | 28c | 1,264$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 72c | 1,241$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,186$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.41 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…1829backed Yes | 24c | 1,015$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 40c | 948.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.34 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 74c | 811.26$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 31c | 730.72$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.77 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 35c | 563.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.61 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 75c | 555$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 65c | 527.54$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 64c | 515$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.55 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 76c | 432.5$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 25c | 427.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 34c | 418$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 403.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…1cb5backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 64c | 311.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…8494backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 27c | 285.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4549backed Yes | 71c | 282$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…78cebacked Yes | 34c | 263$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed No | 76c | 251.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 71c | 247.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes | 27c | 230$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 208$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…5648backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…9a38backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…6330backed Yes | 35c | 182.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 68c | 176.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 33c | 170.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.63 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…0c6fbacked Yes | 27c | 168$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 71c | 163.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe012…433cbacked Yes | 71c | 157$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 26c | 143.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…02b6backed Yes | 36c | 140.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Yes | 34c | 140$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 136.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 114 | 71.9%82 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 73c | 130$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…e971backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 12c | 111.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf467…a572backed Yes | 71c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…7abebacked No | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 103$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed No | 72c | 102$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…65d8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…4351backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…0b23backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…50c5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 16c | 95.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 95.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 34c | 95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Yes | 36c | 84.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…71eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…711bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 47c | 77.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 64c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…b73ebacked No | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…673abacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…d24cbacked No | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 63.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 43c | 62.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…dbdfbacked Yes | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…7c31backed Yes | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…06cbbacked No | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…f1c6backed Yes | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?this page
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.