TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f72…9a74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$286.96
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.67
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will the highest temperature in London be between 84-85°F on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$39.83
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+36%+$29.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$19.96
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$23.55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$744.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69–70°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$19.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65–66°F on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+74.1%+$55.55
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68–69°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$88.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74–75°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61–62°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
ATP Washington D.C – Davidovich Fokina vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Diallo backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+54%+$70.24
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$69
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+116.2%+$282.27
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Mirra Andreeva win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.14
Wimbledon: Siniakova vs. Qinwen (W) backed Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.75
Wimbledon: Fognini vs. Alcaraz backed Fognini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+197.8%+$65.26
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+30%+$46.14
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.75
French Open: Paolini vs. Svitolinabacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
French Open: Musetti vs. Navonebacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.74
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$465.14
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.51
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$86
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.54
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150.65
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.6%+$142.99
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+87.2%+$102.16
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$82.42
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$66.5
Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50–59?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$37.91
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.72
Will "Elio" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85–89?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$68.32
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $99m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$347.68
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.34
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.69
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.3
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$577.65
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$104.7
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.7
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.81
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.86
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$43
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$106.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$35.38
US military action on Yemen before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$33.71
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.13
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "Horrible" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Donald Trump say "US" or "United States" 10+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+71.8%+$71.85
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+99.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-68.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$27.26
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$97.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.