TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$629,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1c9…96d9backed Nets34c98,101$33,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,316.092634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Hawks68c33,165$22,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,573.227149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets47c24,163$11,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,777.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Hawks50c23,333$11,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,636.1322049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Hawks68c23,020$15,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,617.5447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Nets42c17,710$7,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,351.474050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks65c15,505$10,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,152.391,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets31c14,629$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,094.1480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks67c13,877$9,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,269.0777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Nets32c13,384$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,159.5134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hawks59c11,568$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,795.733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hawks59c11,505$6,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,740.081,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Hawks68c11,035$7,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,504.1128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Hawks42c9,999$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.5810926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets34c9,050$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,012.951,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Hawks66c4,487$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.9425536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Hawks51c3,922$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.498251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Nets34c3,800$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.994731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Hawks58c3,397$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.315261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks66c3,208$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Hawks69c3,180$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.230351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Nets33c3,128$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.7920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Nets18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4609038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Hawks67c2,931$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94927848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Nets33c2,807$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.3913929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Hawks68c2,673$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.2733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks66c2,523$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.291,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks78c2,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hawks59c2,258$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.5126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Hawks61c2,238$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.684628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Hawks20c2,083$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.8834524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Nets41c2,030$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.71844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…2318backed Hawks59c2,030$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks66c2,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.611,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Nets34c1,973$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.4129747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Hawks58c1,756$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.7415341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Nets32c1,734$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.129836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41f…e827backed Hawks59c1,709$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1516532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Hawks65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Nets35c1,498$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+75.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hawks68c1,336$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.4620153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Hawks47c1,332$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.0410244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b05…7535backed Hawks69c1,313$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks13c1,300$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hawks10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Hawks48c1,248$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.927851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets34c1,241$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.8296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets50c1,200$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.7688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaec…dd15backed Hawks43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks58c1,058$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Hawks57c1,043$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.266450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Hawks67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets32c999.88$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9232130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks65c995$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Nets49c950$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48528347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks23c933.04$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.468783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Nets22c908.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9311229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Hawks68c876.61$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.8220553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets46c809.52$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed Nets57c806.63$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.091838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets33c800$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks64c775$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.051,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Hawks67c729.48$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Hawks69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Nets42c714.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.191973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nets32c711$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8367…2a2abacked Nets35c676.21$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.543842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks66c674.97$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hawks60c657.75$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.129450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks68c624$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nets33c597.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7927735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets33c597.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.151,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets17c570$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47115613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Hawks44c569$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hawks66c559.97$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3545743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Hawks56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Hawks62c535.43$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Nets30c521.57$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.16346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Hawks62c487.89$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.754344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed Nets32c469.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ccf…a548backed Hawks69c436.83$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets20c428.23$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.591,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…2d08backed Hawks62c422.14$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.731030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Hawks66c400.85$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Hawks68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9538464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Nets32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27213138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc116…a70abacked Hawks46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x132f…890dbacked Hawks66c377.57$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Nets34c377.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Hawks80c376.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets32c369.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Nets33c367.81$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0122733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Nets63c367.15$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0636751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Hawks65c349.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Nets33c346.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.468452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Nets34c343.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.816129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba7c…a3cbbacked Hawks68c340.14$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.