TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ead…cf47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$800.4
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,054.49
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$221.67
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,999.36
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$2,387.07
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+136.9%+$1,013.14
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,415.71
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$2,079.36
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+144.6%+$3,079.86
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,573.3
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,579
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,125
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$6,333.33
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+89.2%+$1,784.91
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$2,858.72
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$977.93
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$994
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,439.63
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+140.7%+$10,351.47
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,107.92
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,572.16
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,999.64
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$239.49
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$94.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$168.74
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$114.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$1,165.36
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$472
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$777.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.5%+$40.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$782.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$107
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,690.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.