NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a71699fea41f983bf1474f1db153c7a3c918f107b87efc326592d7d7fd5181e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Stars, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Stars | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Stars | 35c | 10,222$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.78 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Avalanche | 65c | 9,991$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.66 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,059$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Stars | 36c | 4,055$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.71 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche | 65c | 4,038$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.22 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars | 37c | 3,463$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.25 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,168$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.79 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,097$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.33 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 36c | 2,393$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.77 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,200$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Stars | 37c | 2,133$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.2 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,098$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.16 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Stars | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,990$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.45 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Stars | 36c | 1,666$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,663$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Avalanche | 72c | 1,650$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 35c | 1,572$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Stars | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Stars | 37c | 1,473$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,460$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Stars | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Avalanche | 66c | 1,372$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,279$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.56 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Stars | 36c | 1,278$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Stars | 11c | 1,145$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Avalanche | 65c | 1,115$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 37c | 999.87$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Stars | 13c | 899.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Stars | 36c | 880$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Avalanche | 62c | 860.45$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.97 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stars | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Stars | 37c | 672$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 68c | 625$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Avalanche | 65c | 613.85$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 36c | 606.78$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 63c | 586.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Stars | 27c | 554.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Avalanche | 64c | 537.57$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.31 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…8a10backed Stars | 6c | 521.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Stars | 20c | 510.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 36c | 490$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…7d43backed Avalanche | 65c | 462.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Avalanche | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Stars | 22c | 448.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Stars | 35c | 401.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Stars | 4c | 399.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Stars | 35c | 382$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e498backed Stars | 9c | 365.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Stars | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…738fbacked Stars | 17c | 349.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Stars | 20c | 324.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Stars | 13c | 298.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 7c | 295.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Stars | 37c | 277.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars | 24c | 230.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…877fbacked Stars | 37c | 200.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9a59backed Avalanche | 64c | 200.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Avalanche | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9646backed Stars | 21c | 191.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Avalanche | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Avalanche | 65c | 167.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…1c65backed Stars | 38c | 163.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…aaf6backed Stars | 38c | 162.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…fcbdbacked Stars | 38c | 158.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Avalanche | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…181bbacked Stars | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stars | 37c | 147.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Stars | 14c | 140.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…e133backed Stars | 38c | 138.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5347backed Stars | 38c | 137.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Stars | 11c | 137.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Stars | 27c | 137$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Avalanche | 73c | 136.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 10c | 129.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…b635backed Avalanche | 63c | 128.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…3338backed Stars | 38c | 127.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Stars | 32c | 124$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7443backed Stars | 38c | 112.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…a249backed Stars | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Stars | 36c | 103.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e097backed Avalanche | 64c | 102.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Stars | 36c | 102.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Avalanche | 62c | 101.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…fdfebacked Stars | 36c | 100.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Avalanche | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Stars | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Avalanche | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Stars | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…1859backed Stars | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…6c3ebacked Stars | 37c | 99.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac8…8a4fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 99.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…e998backed Stars | 37c | 99.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…874bbacked Avalanche | 65c | 97.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.