TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a00…8734

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT3026.7%8 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.89
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$69.87
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66%+$599.55
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$229.11
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.1
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+219.5%+$298.64
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.64
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+161.9%+$210.46
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.4
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.81
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.56
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.52
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.08
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.77
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,723.33
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+82.7%+$297.74
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$472.64
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$616.04
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.6
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.28
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+222.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$74.38
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+554.9%+$1,295.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-40.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.15
Trump x Elon talk by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$517
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,463.28
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,533Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,533.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+292.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+292.5%+$510.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$613.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,917.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.