MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7faa8aacdd9ea6eff958cb58669265a011d4669bf46c7a0c1ef64313f81e737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Rangers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Nationals | 52c | 32,328$16,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,677.96 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nationals | 48c | 20,260$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,535.38 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 50c | 14,514$7,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nationals | 47c | 12,087$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.23 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 52c | 11,832$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rangers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 47c | 5,688$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers | 53c | 4,694$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.04 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 51c | 3,521$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 26c | 3,274$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rangers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 35c | 2,963$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 49c | 2,924$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.23 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Rangers | 44c | 2,594$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Rangers | 51c | 2,571$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Rangers | 31c | 2,251$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.26 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rangers | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 52c | 2,000$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.46 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nationals | 66c | 1,516$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.44 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 52c | 1,387$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.19 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Rangers | 3c | 1,211$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.92 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Nationals | 66c | 1,056$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Rangers | 26c | 912.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Nationals | 49c | 900.2$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 50c | 896$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Nationals | 70c | 850.84$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Nationals | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rangers | 40c | 690$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rangers | 52c | 680.97$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 78c | 637$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rangers | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers | 6c | 537$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers | 53c | 530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rangers | 52c | 477.69$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers | 4c | 475$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nationals | 48c | 416.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 12c | 408.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 10c | 347.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Rangers | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 52c | 316$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Nationals | 66c | 300.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…9a29backed Rangers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 53c | 292.26$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Nationals | 47c | 288$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 48c | 255.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers | 29c | 251.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rangers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers | 8c | 232.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Rangers | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 54c | 217$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 60c | 212.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nationals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nationals | 53c | 190.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Rangers | 21c | 188.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 66c | 180.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 47c | 169.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Rangers | 53c | 167.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Rangers | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Rangers | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Rangers | 36c | 155.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 52c | 154.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Rangers | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nationals | 67c | 149.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Nationals | 54c | 122.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Rangers | 52c | 116.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Nationals | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Nationals | 47c | 113.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…882cbacked Nationals | 48c | 108.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Nationals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Nationals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…54dbbacked Nationals | 48c | 105.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nationals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0c70backed Nationals | 48c | 103.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…547abacked Nationals | 47c | 102.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…f505backed Nationals | 48c | 102.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…0a9cbacked Rangers | 53c | 101.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…13bbbacked Nationals | 48c | 101.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…acedbacked Rangers | 54c | 100.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked Nationals | 48c | 100.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…9c84backed Rangers | 53c | 100.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nationals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…4b24backed Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…253cbacked Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118b…cdb0backed Nationals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…9787backed Rangers | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.