TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b72…9a29

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$154.29
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55.01
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+203%+$69.03
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+28.2%+$44
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$75.35
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+53.8%+$32.31
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+75.4%+$49.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+82.7%+$56.78
Dolphins vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+58.7%+$83.11
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+58.7%+$17.21
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Patriotsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+49.3%+$19.9
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$99.21
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+244.8%+$70.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$122
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.