TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,023,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,054,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,023,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb100…6461backed Clippers10c68,767$7,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,135.9223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Clippers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Clippers3c49,455$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.6846426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets34c36,510$12,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,171.097335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers41c36,341$15,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,057.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3196…146fbacked Clippers61c33,573$20,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,465.431936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Nuggets30c27,448$8,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,098.2928341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers36c23,157$8,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,430.671,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers56c23,037$12,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,974.8722457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets29c22,222$6,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,777.4528241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Clippers70c20,708$14,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,479.5813560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Nuggets37c17,794$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,258.735433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Clippers70c16,495$11,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,626.766344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Clippers6c12,821$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.5113731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers53c11,256$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Clippers10c10,878$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Nuggets45c10,869$4,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.845536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers42c10,749$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,46770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4052…7d38backed Clippers0c10,300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Nuggets30c10,073$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,007.935337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Clippers71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1002475%18 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Nuggets78c9,875$7,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.4916641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets55c9,639$5,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.9129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Nuggets39c8,500$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,18512657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Clippers0c8,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Clippers27c7,747$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.9226431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Clippers56c7,694$4,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,280.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Clippers70c7,616$5,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,330.937149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Clippers66c7,197$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.6628347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5be…7c6ebacked Clippers39c6,080$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nuggets40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Clippers49c4,744$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.998962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1925…1ddbbacked Clippers25c4,500$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.56235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Clippers55c4,451$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.8212938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets45c4,329$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.9423342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets30c4,100$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8701,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Clippers62c3,721$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.8937627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Clippers59c3,714$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.1711229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets30c3,672$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.2873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets46c3,625$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.1848046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Clippers68c3,469$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.0722137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Nuggets32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1251752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clippers69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.9736748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Nuggets54c2,948$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.815728.1%16 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets28c2,758$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.1796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8222…8b4ebacked Clippers71c2,691$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.644468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Clippers4c2,590$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Nuggets46c2,461$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.625230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Nuggets60c2,374$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8614034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Clippers72c2,200$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.9966153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Clippers55c2,066$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.5368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Clippers12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Clippers69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3806747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Clippers69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3801546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9841742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb63d…9dd6backed Nuggets31c1,990$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.11353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Clippers56c1,900$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.793243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa844…6179backed Clippers60c1,850$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.53732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Clippers36c1,828$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.3647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Nuggets42c1,753$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.144050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets39c1,743$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Nuggets38c1,724$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06312232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nuggets28c1,703$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.7137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Clippers71c1,700$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.9930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3375…a8d8backed Clippers15c1,679$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…4e52backed Nuggets31c1,620$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers70c1,592$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.8766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Nuggets42c1,485$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.719448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Clippers70c1,461$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Clippers1c1,455$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Clippers62c1,400$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86827547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Nuggets44c1,338$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.363946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Nuggets30c1,300$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Clippers46c1,265$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.617929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Clippers70c1,200$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9945348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets30c1,200$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Clippers2c1,143$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.265502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Nuggets45c1,130$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.7636247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3147…dac8backed Clippers1c1,126$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Clippers68c1,100$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.941216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Nuggets42c1,011$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.065261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Clippers70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets31c1,000$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.431,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Clippers70c1,000$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69550453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Nuggets30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Clippers7c999.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Clippers5c996.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8214041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Nuggets66c914.71$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets56c884.07$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2153134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6f…2246backed Nuggets56c855$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Clippers3c850$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.157502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Clippers71c845.07$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Clippers2c829$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4127731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Nuggets51c816.16$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9225939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Clippers18c799.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.999450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets37c785$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.4822039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets65c777$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f22…1552backed Nuggets52c752.24$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Nuggets42c713.86$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8913920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.