TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb100…6461

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,759
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT23237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 232 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,818Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$12,721.61
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,482.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$701.94
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.93
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.66
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,279.12
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$265.29
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,410.96
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$1,138.94
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+74.4%+$1,100.38
LeBron 10+ point streak broken this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+59.2%+$233.68
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,456.75
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,032Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+93.5%+$1,901.2
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+284%+$1,633.21
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,652Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.9%+$1,352.47
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.8%+$235.5
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$316.97
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,466.91
NBA Finals: Will any player record a triple double?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$379.02
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$518.76
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$499.75
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$859.57
Will SGA attempt 9 or more free throws in the game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$16
Will SGA attempt 0-2 free throws in the game? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will Jayson Tatum Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$188.15
Showing 25 of 232 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20549.8%102 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 205 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$536.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.72
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$560.11
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,907.2
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,643Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$3,392.32
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,757.16
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,022.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,514Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$3,627.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+246.6%+$75,338.21
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,196.55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+63%+$8,267.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76,906Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+177.3%+$136,387.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+323%+$3,757.47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$4,249.13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$4,171.76
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,192.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$711.49
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,902.82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$116,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116,566.68
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.76
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56,216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$52,791.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+290.8%+$16,184.55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,154.66
Showing 25 of 205 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT17850%89 W · 89 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$405.8
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,958Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$874.83
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440.2
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$1,898.9
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$288.3
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+45.4%+$402.45
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,987.44
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33,412.34
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$6,051.84
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.7%+$3,709.16
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.9%+$1,215.43
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,684Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+32.4%+$1,192.44
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,664.09
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$191.47
Will Trump’s approval rating be 46.0–47.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,975.74
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$403
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+154.6%+$5,382.14
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.6%+$328.3
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196.32
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+71.6%+$2,462.43
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101.4%+$30.21
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,396.43
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$737.2
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT8864.8%57 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,982.6
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$375.27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,276.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$10.88
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$849.47
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,038.83
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$4,990.16
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$477.67
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,745
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$2,390.55
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,301.89
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$352.8
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$2,888.98
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,817.22
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,280.17
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,906Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$3,017.98
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.41
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.22
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.81
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$388.15
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+27.3%+$189.11
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$227.34
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+45%+$140.62
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.92
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT8423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$361.99
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$1,282.54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,903.37
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.92
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$94.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+41.6%+$197.08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$71.54
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$629.08
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$214.96
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.5%+$692.48
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$68.93
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$903.81
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$4,078.79
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,806Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+180.3%+$8,665.83
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$350.07
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,956Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53%+$6,338.37
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155.42
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,933.57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,815.34
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$4,169.09
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+3,726%+$7,015.13
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST7233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,443.08
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,572Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+34.9%+$896.85
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,584.83
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.2%+$594.28
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+32.2%+$491.3
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,829Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,270.99
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,493.55
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Thomson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44.94
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sharaf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$96.89
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$971.29
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,004.33
UFC 323: Dawson vs. Torres (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+150%+$444.9
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$899.7
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$368.23
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,931Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$1,468.12
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$889.99
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.99
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$130.29
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$1,554.32
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$440.54
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$3,619.08
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,459.27
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT7034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.54
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.19
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.31
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$730.3
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.81
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.26
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.18
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$398
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$781.85
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.39
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$199.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$583.69
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$229.54
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+2,073.9%+$620.1
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$319.15
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$356.67
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$435
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$310.05
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.94
Will Aston Villa vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+31.9%+$113.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+37%+$18.37
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+541.1%+$6,199.87
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,394.16
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.99
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.97
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,201.62
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,014Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$8,663.38
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,916.53
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,045.1
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$5,085.66
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,174.38
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+359.3%+$781.21
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$8,552.92
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$7.94
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$2,360.87
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.6%+$1,078.98
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$151.9
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+76.6%+$299.84
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.1%+$160.48
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$85.98
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.5%+$38.99
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.49
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+60.4%+$253.68
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+58.1%+$355.95
Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$191.68
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT6453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$7,249.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$9,859.94
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.09
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,526.78
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,534.12
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.22
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$796.11
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$7,829.84
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,699.86
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$224.95
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+76%+$763.82
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$2,429.23
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,126.97
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,702.3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,157.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$162.64
Will Diamondprox win Tyler 1 All Star tournament week 4? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$246.8
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,815.97
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$95.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220.34
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,348.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.3%+$361.9
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$747.15
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,514.72
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$103,818.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+886.7%+$97,446.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,000
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.23
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$78.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$71.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+90.7%+$2,878.7
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$539.46
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54.87
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.2%+$718.1
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+70.4%+$726.32
Will Donald Trump say "card" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$227.82
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.17
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$758.95
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+67.3%+$2,120.79
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$493.14
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$261.02
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.75
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,339.87
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$299.4
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT5137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.17
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.37
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.28
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,604Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$1,038.24
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.56
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.58
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.05
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.09
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800.53
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.6
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,085.39
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.89
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+198%+$2,535.37
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$199.32
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.6
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,691.24
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12,743Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.2%+$6,525.1
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,877Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+34.5%+$3,060.39
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+163%+$1,195.95
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.9%+$3,569.97
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+343.9%+$1,840.22
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,094.74
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$233.25
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$101.15
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,379.79
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16,002.52
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$6,032.17
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+102.4%+$6,612.87
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,556Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+215.4%+$18,432.29
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63.15
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$493.5
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$870.51
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$511.8
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+90%+$457.56
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99.63
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,227.72
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+41.1%+$139.4
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$83.29
Will there be 4+ knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+3,603%+$412.67
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42.79
Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$19.31
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104.32
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+2,073.9%+$1,812.54
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$167.74
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100.9
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$238.26
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT4639.1%18 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,767Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$5,074.23
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,560
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.76
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$949.68
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$72.6
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.08
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+117.1%+$1,137.63
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+39%+$620.52
Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$732.68
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.15
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.52
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$128.47
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$79.83
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$79.3
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$52.47
Will Daniel Naroditsky win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$42.73
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$22.08
Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2024 World Rapid Chess Chamionship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$399.7
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$29.04
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$296.94
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$39.81
Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$713.78
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+35.3%+$653.43
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$807.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$549.65
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+279.6%+$45.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$266.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43%+$350.35
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,720
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,748.95
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,210.73
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,151.77
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$126.43
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+32.8%+$208.46
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+1,059.2%+$2,138.16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,462.39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$270
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+82.7%+$473.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$104.71
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,454Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+57.4%+$1,407.71
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$169.55
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$26.55
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$620.71
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,303Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+93.2%+$1,214.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+210.6%+$1,355.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$79.61
BLAST Bounty: G2 vs. Spiritbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,013Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$986.8
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$541.2
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13,180.88
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28,854Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+74%+$21,340.08
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,384Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+172.1%+$9,267.75
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,443Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.5%+$642.17
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31.99
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,869Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+43.3%+$1,241.1
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.4%+$38.22
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.5%+$639.84
Cardi B and Stefon Diggs breakup before August? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.63
Will there be a streaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+44%+$246.48
Will Donald Trump say "Bills" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$41.75
Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+42.3%+$166.8
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.68
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.22
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,642Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+59.8%+$2,177.13
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+127.5%+$258.44
Joe Burrow and Olivia Holzmacher break up this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+117.7%+$46.62
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+33.7%+$56.24
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$208.05
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,631.9
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$510.4
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+26.9%+$126.8
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$122.57
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$854.16
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,539Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,459.59
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$233.5
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$264.44
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,421.29
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.79
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13,829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+206%+$28,490.89
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,049.18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69,409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.8%+$19,959.03
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,804.5%+$228.65
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,560.41
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.4%+$1,774.89
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$154.97
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,159Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$839.77
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,608.8
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.58
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.91
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$187.56
Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+84.1%+$26.92
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+220.1%+$518.02
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$766.21
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$930.24
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$192.85
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,649Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,349.53
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.72
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$246.86
Will Chelsea beat PSG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.74
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$686.25
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,076.89
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$508.07
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$117.1
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$571.95
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,757Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$707.63
Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors: 6+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+124.3%+$55.41
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.49
Real Madrid vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.44
Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$374.75
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.9
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.74
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$794.47
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$48.07
Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City: 5+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$1,172.15
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$358.36
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.08
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,920Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$2,659.58
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,957Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$4,327.82
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,075.88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+701.6%+$204,288.93
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,156.93
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120,986Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$81,844.14
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225,221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$177,276.86
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.47
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.09
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,853.25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,367.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.86
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$149.31
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$2,224.95
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.6
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.04
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.63
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.86
England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.34
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.67
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,449.67
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,950.58
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,358.33
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+251.6%+$2,865.57
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,131.52
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+27.6%+$69.69
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$249.71
Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$99.85
Olympic Men’s Basketball Final: USA vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$205.85
Will Hagos Gebrhiwet (ETH) win Gold in 5000m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Djamel Sedjati (ALG) win gold in 800m M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.66
Will Emmanuel Wanyonyi (KEN) win gold in 800m M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+486.4%+$59.1
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$118.86
Will Benson Kipruto (KEN) win gold in the Men’s Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.71
Will Any Other Team win Gold in Women’s Beach Volleyball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$65.52
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x100m Relay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$176.79
Will Grant Holloway (USA) win Gold in 110m Hurdles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will Femke Bol (NED) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$38.31
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,306.47
Olympic Basketball: USA (-14.5) vs. Serbia Spreadbacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+497.5%+$80.1
Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.43
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. Francebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$186.28
Olympic Women's Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Nigeria Spreadbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$55.98
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$142.82
Olympic Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Brazil Spreadbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$131.3
Will Julien Alfred (LCA) win gold in 200m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$125.87
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. Francebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$186.34
Olympic Basketball: Australia vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+399.3%+$357.05
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,959.68
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,872.91
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.9
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.77
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$2,078.83
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.48
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$115.55
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,929Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.1%+$764.98
Will Drake release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.3%+$199.73
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$386.88
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,594.69
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13,176.15
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.03
Sabrina Carpenter holds 3 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$27.81
Will Drake release an album by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$271.29
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.12
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$459.95
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,843.12
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15,530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$8,835.75
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.45
Will Tyler, The Creator's album 'DON'T TAP THE GLASS' have over 200k sales by July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.91
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+331%+$1,992.86
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.52
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61%+$43.2
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,258.4
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$41.71
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$233.59
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.7%+$1,862.03
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,077.75
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$441.47
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$559.97
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$44.82
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$425.15
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26%+$72.91
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.92
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90.74
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,657.68
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+287.4%+$1,774.41
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,990.76
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$283.34
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+39.8%+$66.33
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 3 straight weeks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+71.5%+$132.16
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+39.7%+$63.37
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.96
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.24
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+158%+$412.81
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$398.74
Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+77%+$81.77
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21,779Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$8,353.68
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100.6%+$408.59
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$364.18
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75.71
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$168.83
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.8
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+52.6%+$420.41
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$9,300.22
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+109.1%+$667.58
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+68.2%+$213.57
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,552.86
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$456
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$76.91
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,292.14
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+203.1%+$5,276.6
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,589.45
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.4%+$6,017.52
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Will Trump say "Drug" or "Cartel" 3+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25.4%+$66.9
Will Trump say "China" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25%+$18
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.1%+$63.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,597Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.4%+$4,704.77
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$232.87
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,865.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76,670.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,534.39
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.33
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$93.32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.77
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,117.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,933Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,259.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$303.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,867Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$2,056.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.64
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$1,172.77
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$193.04
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$438.58
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64%+$1,122.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$313.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,473.19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,948.34
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$1,703.4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,446.39
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$634.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$7,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$7,031.4
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.89
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,705Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.8%+$2,446.61
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.7%+$1,287.23
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+427.4%+$4,845.93
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.1%+$101.07
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$26.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.2%+$758.76
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,650.56
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,961.71
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+27%+$275.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.1
Ethereum all time high in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$19.13
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$691.04
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,283.24
Solana all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+37.9%+$44
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+65.8%+$989.89
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.17
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$442
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,378.88
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+91.5%+$2,269.22
Dodgers vs. Angelsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,020.01
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,210.1
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$545.17
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,088Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$4,177.76
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,273.75
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,920.58
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$3,230
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,909.97
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,805.37
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$753.8
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,430.5
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,812.95
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,752Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$1,647.9
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$3,308.54
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,951.02
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$1,172.55
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$538.51
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$1,490.89
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,619.07
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,798Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.5%+$1,105.56
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$174
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,632.65
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.22
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,285.07
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$572.19
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$559.98
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$1,134.7
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.25
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$862.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Monte-Carlo Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$281.53
US Open: Sinner vs. Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.7
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$89.12
US Open: Popyrin vs. Tiafoebacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$416.38
US Open: Zverev vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$156.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 13, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$86.5
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,852Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$984.78
Lynx vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.4
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+90.3%+$263.3
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,863.03
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$233.04
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10,598Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+29.8%+$3,153.82
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+47.8%+$388.28
WNBA: Will Angel Reese miss her first shot vs. Liberty?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.32
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$97.06
Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+86.7%+$81.11
Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$46
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.65
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 1backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$18.87
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,913.74
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22,872Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33%+$7,557.73
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.58
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,344Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$1,217.5
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.76
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$171.43
Xi Jinping seen in public before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.49
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$91.11
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$696.48
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,537Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+64%+$1,624.4
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,132.76
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+66.7%+$196
Rutgers vs. Kansas Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$364.56
Iowa State vs. Arizona Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$33.78
All 5 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$419.79
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$1,640.11
Will there be 3+ fights in NHL 4 Nations Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,025.47
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$64.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,783Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,193.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$269.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$55.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series of Poker – American winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.