Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21652ff408b028121573b13b62e02f24a7a006ccc31894434bf274166679a563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,270,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,277,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 95,512$23,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,287.94 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…4e19backed No | 76c | 78,223$59,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,655.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…b4aebacked Yes | 30c | 47,119$14,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,983.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…06f0backed No | 70c | 46,955$32,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,868.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 77c | 44,884$34,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,504.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 46c | 35,427$16,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,249.74 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 37c | 29,720$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,694.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 51c | 22,445$11,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,478.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…b78ebacked Yes | 22c | 22,252$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,255.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed No | 59c | 18,804$11,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,091.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 10c | 16,919$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 36c | 16,633$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,705.28 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed No | 72c | 16,000$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,439.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 15,586$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300.51 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…4568backed No | 55c | 15,553$8,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,604.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 19c | 15,045$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.27 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 19c | 14,524$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,818.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 74c | 12,434$9,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,196.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 71c | 12,191$8,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,705.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 19c | 11,470$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.38 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 55c | 10,860$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…161fbacked No | 76c | 10,379$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,855.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 57c | 10,203$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 55c | 9,521$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed No | 70c | 9,402$6,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,617.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 37c | 9,225$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.66 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 34c | 8,892$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.03 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 35c | 8,414$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.81 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…ae4dbacked Yes | 41c | 8,364$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 29c | 8,086$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 13c | 8,045$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,961.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 44c | 7,997$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 26c | 7,468$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 44c | 7,269$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.7 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed No | 46c | 6,444$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 9c | 5,832$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.38 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 17c | 5,548$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.37 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…9238backed Yes | 73c | 5,445$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 18c | 5,400$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 60c | 5,238$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…49ffbacked No | 79c | 5,087$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…2e2ebacked No | 59c | 5,066$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…8f01backed No | 73c | 5,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 66c | 4,960$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.6 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…d10fbacked Yes | 21c | 4,796$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 15c | 4,624$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.84 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 69c | 4,496$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e32…efe8backed Yes | 70c | 4,270$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed No | 31c | 3,852$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…f8b7backed Yes | 75c | 3,844$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…4deabacked No | 66c | 3,798$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 26c | 3,754$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…9f94backed No | 20c | 3,712$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 34c | 3,646$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 30c | 3,337$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.1 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…efcdbacked No | 30c | 3,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…405cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 46c | 2,980$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 9c | 2,899$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed Yes | 37c | 2,894$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 39c | 2,777$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 19c | 2,724$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed Yes | 36c | 2,712$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 26c | 2,650$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…e7b6backed Yes | 38c | 2,616$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…0329backed Yes | 73c | 2,598$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 47c | 2,564$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…bec6backed Yes | 70c | 2,554$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…addcbacked Yes | 75c | 2,533$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 51c | 2,493$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.97 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…1eeebacked Yes | 74c | 2,488$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 68c | 2,400$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 55c | 2,386$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159c…bfffbacked Yes | 75c | 2,331$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…3674backed Yes | 75c | 2,206$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 71c | 2,196$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.93 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…3d75backed No | 77c | 2,146$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed No | 26c | 2,145$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked No | 38c | 2,134$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…2829backed No | 67c | 2,133$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 65c | 2,084$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 36c | 2,067$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.94 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…c6c5backed Yes | 75c | 2,066$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…3e59backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 46c | 1,992$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.57 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…d285backed No | 33c | 1,911$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…ddfbbacked No | 77c | 1,869$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 76c | 1,798$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,750$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.14 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…2bb5backed Yes | 15c | 1,744$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f2c1backed No | 35c | 1,731$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 14c | 1,650$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.41 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…b808backed No | 8c | 1,618$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,602$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.32 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 39c | 1,557$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.83 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…203cbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…5be3backed Yes | 68c | 1,485$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.