TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc20e…0a5e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 51 out of 100; worst Commodities at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$381.07
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$444.27
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$228.91
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$209.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.86
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$341.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.12
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.89
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$5.02
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.61
Will Bitcoin reach $115K August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.63
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+291.1%+$959.36
Ethereum all time high before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+234.2%+$342.68
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+101.5%+$156.65
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.14
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,605.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.88
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.56
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.59
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$137.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$6.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$247.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.