Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f00df0b90ef30f13cad40bf1b051831b1b608e14ac747fcd62728c1c1e6e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,400,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,090,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,400,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 5c | 340,583$16,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,972.82 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 4c | 219,492$9,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,088.4 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 3c | 205,936$6,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 3c | 140,779$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.93 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 76c | 134,336$102,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,598.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca24…069bbacked Yes | 30c | 93,704$27,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,983.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 79c | 59,439$46,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,760.71 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 73c | 57,251$41,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,378.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 29c | 51,798$14,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,973.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 7c | 51,019$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 2c | 48,757$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.66 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Yes | 5c | 48,734$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 6c | 43,079$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 21c | 39,181$8,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,344.11 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 79c | 37,912$29,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 10c | 35,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 21c | 30,417$6,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,408.35 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 1c | 30,369$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 30,248$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 6c | 29,864$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 20c | 28,825$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 22c | 27,713$6,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,224.65 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…d2a1backed Yes | 21c | 25,565$5,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,479.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 14c | 24,693$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.04 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 1c | 23,145$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 22c | 22,534$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 15c | 22,429$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.03 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 21,522$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 3c | 21,057$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 21,010$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…cdf0backed No | 71c | 20,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…a357backed Yes | 6c | 19,718$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 20c | 18,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…043dbacked Yes | 25c | 17,796$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 22c | 17,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 11c | 16,738$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 0c | 15,676$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…c91fbacked Yes | 8c | 15,587$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked No | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 11c | 14,863$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…8793backed Yes | 3c | 14,139$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…3646backed Yes | 18c | 14,049$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…9f87backed Yes | 26c | 13,834$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 22c | 13,301$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.93 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 7c | 13,199$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.99 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…d10fbacked Yes | 20c | 12,284$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…dff1backed No | 73c | 12,272$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 11c | 11,890$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.45 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 75c | 11,624$8,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.21 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 78c | 11,343$8,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…68abbacked No | 73c | 10,918$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 19c | 10,797$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…2642backed Yes | 27c | 10,300$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 12c | 10,156$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.64 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…3b9cbacked Yes | 32c | 10,116$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…1cc5backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes | 16c | 9,234$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 73c | 9,156$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…6952backed Yes | 25c | 8,827$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 77c | 8,625$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 22c | 8,123$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.3 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 12c | 8,016$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.5 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 7,980$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 80c | 7,783$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 72c | 7,777$5,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 78c | 7,750$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…5a65backed Yes | 4c | 7,619$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 11c | 7,371$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 28c | 6,844$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.48 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 8c | 6,805$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 4c | 6,791$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 6,405$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.79 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…2880backed Yes | 33c | 6,062$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…5a02backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked No | 75c | 6,000$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 5,871$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.18 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 74c | 5,734$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.3 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 36c | 5,687$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.29 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 76c | 5,555$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 75c | 5,511$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,500$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.3 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 69c | 5,494$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 74c | 5,272$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…19e4backed Yes | 19c | 5,193$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…0b58backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…2925backed Yes | 0c | 4,734$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Yes | 27c | 4,504$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…eb51backed Yes | 33c | 4,483$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…df8ebacked No | 78c | 4,426$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,404$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…c5ccbacked Yes | 2c | 4,308$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…afd0backed Yes | 5c | 4,104$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.