Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56f168adeb1b021ca4394ffed504f581321ed12a5ec0d92a1e26ea773aec5b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,337,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,254,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,337,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 663 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 6c | 331,918$20,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,990.08 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 3c | 174,966$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.88 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 3c | 164,078$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 162,731$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.87 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 19c | 130,784$24,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,972.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 64c | 125,017$79,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,381.18 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 8c | 105,146$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,939.87 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 30c | 63,562$19,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,039.38 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 5c | 57,823$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 64c | 54,872$35,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,567.28 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 2c | 54,816$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…68abbacked No | 70c | 50,883$35,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,505.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 16c | 50,069$8,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,113.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 47c | 49,626$23,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,495.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 60c | 46,751$27,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,773.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 23c | 44,880$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.66 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 11c | 42,706$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.86 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…4f37backed Yes | 3c | 42,000$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes | 60c | 41,948$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 28c | 41,490$11,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,483.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…74babacked Yes | 6c | 36,000$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 6c | 35,066$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…b9c3backed No | 73c | 34,850$25,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 28c | 34,103$9,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,649.58 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 41c | 31,809$13,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,165.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 31,710$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 53c | 30,948$16,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,640.15 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 35c | 26,922$9,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,458.81 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed Yes | 29c | 25,235$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 35c | 25,192$8,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,855.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 11c | 25,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.81 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 75c | 22,604$16,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 31c | 21,363$6,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.98 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 21,291$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.96 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 11c | 20,753$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.83 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…1295backed Yes | 15c | 20,342$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…d2a1backed Yes | 38c | 20,211$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…51b8backed No | 76c | 20,000$15,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 8c | 19,601$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.77 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 39c | 19,091$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.23 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 43c | 18,228$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,308.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…1cf9backed Yes | 63c | 17,035$10,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,657.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 4c | 15,167$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.13 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 66c | 15,163$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 14,998$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.47 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 1c | 14,803$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 21c | 14,367$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.08 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…b691backed Yes | 8c | 13,076$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 4c | 12,854$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…8c91backed Yes | 28c | 12,227$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 12,070$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 63c | 11,683$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,731$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…53f2backed Yes | 37c | 10,615$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 57c | 10,004$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 10c | 9,724$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.81 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 57c | 9,688$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.82 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…8793backed Yes | 10c | 9,330$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 47c | 9,160$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 33c | 9,106$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed No | 64c | 8,723$5,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 17c | 8,699$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.79 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…2880backed Yes | 54c | 8,520$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 5c | 8,438$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…007cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…fe2abacked Yes | 1c | 8,363$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 62c | 8,055$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 80c | 8,009$6,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 9c | 7,951$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x825b…023bbacked Yes | 8c | 7,846$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de0…9483backed No | 76c | 7,640$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…4301backed Yes | 8c | 7,472$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 64c | 7,407$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.58 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…0311backed Yes | 4c | 7,256$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 7,207$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…6c7cbacked No | 74c | 6,745$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 20c | 6,366$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.57 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 6,285$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…eb51backed Yes | 65c | 6,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked No | 66c | 6,008$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 27c | 6,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…5201backed Yes | 9c | 5,979$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…2ef1backed No | 56c | 5,887$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 13c | 5,874$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 54c | 5,509$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…f1c1backed Yes | 2c | 5,200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 10c | 5,193$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 60c | 5,053$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 59c | 4,991$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…a170backed Yes | 18c | 4,943$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed No | 59c | 4,822$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 62c | 4,811$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.79 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 29c | 4,585$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.65 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 38c | 4,558$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.23 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 58c | 4,472$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 11c | 4,357$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 27c | 4,317$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.