Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9e470571304e966cf632bedc71d8e0c434caab3ce6f008c49fdf97af3bf24c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,297,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,098,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,297,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e5a…cec6backed Yes | 1c | 119,855$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 0c | 100,535$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1e86backed Yes | 2c | 93,399$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,998$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…1cc5backed Yes | 1c | 29,845$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 29,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 23,779$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…7a0abacked Yes | 1c | 22,923$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Yes | 1c | 21,110$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…3e88backed Yes | 1c | 18,402$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,686$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 14,802$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…21c5backed Yes | 1c | 12,999$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9902backed Yes | 1c | 12,533$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,499$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495e…ad10backed Yes | 1c | 12,345$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,054$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…8904backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 1c | 9,999$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 0c | 8,255$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 1c | 7,925$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 1c | 7,680$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 7,225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…d9febacked Yes | 1c | 7,190$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…f388backed Yes | 1c | 6,378$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,185$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 1c | 6,010$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,725$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 0c | 5,698$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d2…4dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,676$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,472$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked Yes | 1c | 5,392$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 0c | 5,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,022$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…fde8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 1c | 4,289$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,058$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…32f3backed Yes | 0c | 3,851$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…05c1backed Yes | 1c | 3,704$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…ce2fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,596$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f1…9626backed Yes | 1c | 3,347$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f072backed Yes | 1c | 3,088$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 1c | 2,897$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,791$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…438dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 1c | 2,536$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…f4dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,302$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…591fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,273$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 1c | 2,177$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,152$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…53ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,887$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a2…0a19backed Yes | 1c | 1,829$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…cd8bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,032$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Yes | 2c | 983.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.