Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab9efc4b25a4ee42222e86f2046f5a86ecce97c55e44d5d9718ad29f91c9e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,930,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,569,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,930,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 383,354$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 1c | 348,062$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 3c | 169,401$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.36 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 85,200$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 1c | 83,197$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.38 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 1c | 73,339$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 64,223$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.4 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 1c | 64,206$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.64 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 1c | 51,000$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.57 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x825b…023bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,991$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…cba9backed Yes | 2c | 45,979$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 45,564$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 2c | 42,104$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.67 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa702…4dc3backed Yes | 2c | 33,257$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 30,537$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 2c | 29,231$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.97 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 1c | 25,300$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 2c | 23,317$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.22 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…314abacked Yes | 3c | 18,814$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…13adbacked Yes | 1c | 17,527$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 1c | 17,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 17,416$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 1c | 17,232$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 1c | 17,007$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,116$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 0c | 15,785$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…11a8backed Yes | 1c | 15,400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 14,964$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 13,500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…5dc4backed Yes | 2c | 12,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…819bbacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 2c | 11,955$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,605$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 1c | 11,264$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,248$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…5010backed Yes | 1c | 10,424$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9902backed Yes | 0c | 10,186$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…0efabacked Yes | 2c | 10,092$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…f5e9backed Yes | 0c | 10,043$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…210ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…b4b1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 0c | 9,724$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…21f5backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 0c | 7,504$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 0c | 7,451$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 1c | 7,227$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…c5ccbacked Yes | 0c | 7,179$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…9be5backed Yes | 1c | 7,105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…6952backed Yes | 2c | 7,070$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…5e65backed Yes | 2c | 7,046$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…95bbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,669$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…eb96backed Yes | 2c | 6,400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8d…b13fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…15aebacked Yes | 1c | 5,778$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…eb1bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,581$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 1c | 5,555$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…5d65backed Yes | 1c | 5,376$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…76a2backed Yes | 2c | 5,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Yes | 2c | 5,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…d984backed Yes | 3c | 5,068$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 2c | 5,021$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…c224backed Yes | 0c | 5,007$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…eb51backed Yes | 2c | 4,934$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed Yes | 2c | 4,929$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…4f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,657$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…ce2fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,299$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 2c | 4,160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9ff5backed Yes | 1c | 4,102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…a711backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…7491backed Yes | 1c | 3,982$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…4e64backed Yes | 2c | 3,849$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…970ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…d87cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,562$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,526$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…387abacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,499$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…f593backed Yes | 2c | 3,472$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 1c | 3,414$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…0739backed Yes | 3c | 3,342$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…7a60backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f4…21b7backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…a218backed Yes | 2c | 3,272$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 2c | 3,177$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…e59fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4d…3e88backed Yes | 1c | 3,058$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 2c | 2,856$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.