Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9389cc819c1e2737a5eeaa9a45ce3e28d80745651de45e9b37b13ca56a08332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,294,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,155,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,294,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86dd…1e86backed Yes | 17c | 335,715$57,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,684.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 9c | 220,800$20,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,815.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…4385backed Yes | 8c | 188,440$14,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,498.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 12c | 63,552$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 16c | 56,741$9,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,068.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 11c | 45,218$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.54 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 9c | 43,548$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 13c | 41,058$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Yes | 12c | 39,252$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 78c | 36,221$28,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,902.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e559backed Yes | 6c | 29,041$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 74c | 22,100$16,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…48eebacked Yes | 2c | 21,929$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 11c | 21,178$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.62 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 24c | 20,558$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 19,814$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 19c | 15,141$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 11c | 13,210$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.71 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…cedfbacked Yes | 13c | 13,100$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed No | 76c | 11,972$9,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 11,970$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.41 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 5c | 11,235$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.8 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…c91fbacked Yes | 8c | 11,174$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,509$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 17c | 9,888$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 14c | 9,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 1c | 9,724$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…5e2dbacked No | 79c | 9,279$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 8c | 8,967$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.31 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…536dbacked Yes | 11c | 8,505$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…8938backed Yes | 8c | 8,300$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.49 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 7c | 8,074$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.8 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 19c | 8,009$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…0c62backed Yes | 8c | 7,988$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 11c | 7,556$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842d…9c19backed Yes | 3c | 7,488$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 5c | 6,989$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…6425backed No | 79c | 6,780$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 1c | 6,122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked Yes | 10c | 6,104$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.82 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…4438backed Yes | 21c | 6,024$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 6c | 5,664$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 75c | 5,494$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…e581backed Yes | 9c | 5,356$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 17c | 4,947$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 15c | 4,818$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 25c | 4,783$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.73 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…eebebacked Yes | 22c | 4,630$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…c3bfbacked Yes | 7c | 4,494$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…5a65backed Yes | 11c | 4,457$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 77c | 4,405$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 5c | 4,351$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,010$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.7 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…203cbacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,899$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 75c | 3,500$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.73 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 25c | 3,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,394$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…f3bfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,071$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…df8ebacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed Yes | 4c | 2,906$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 76c | 2,702$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.78 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…9be5backed Yes | 1c | 2,682$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 12c | 2,622$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 7c | 2,494$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 80c | 2,260$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.92 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 8c | 2,222$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…55bebacked Yes | 6c | 2,177$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed No | 73c | 2,175$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 78c | 2,134$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 17c | 2,027$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…5201backed Yes | 23c | 1,927$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 11c | 1,847$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 1,847$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…766bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,801$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…52e5backed No | 77c | 1,734$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…f593backed No | 78c | 1,732$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…c224backed Yes | 10c | 1,690$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…5696backed Yes | 20c | 1,650$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…69efbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 32c | 1,386$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…31dfbacked No | 77c | 1,370$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 74c | 1,358$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.59 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,356$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 79c | 1,334$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…2396backed No | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 79c | 1,238$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb592…8ffcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.