TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,294,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,155,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,294,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86dd…1e86backed Yes17c335,715$57,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,684.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes9c220,800$20,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,815.491010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-83.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…4385backed Yes8c188,440$14,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,498.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c1…b742backed Yes12c63,552$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,850714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Yes16c56,741$9,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,068.381833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes11c45,218$4,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.54214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-92.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb068…80a2backed Yes9c43,548$3,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.111338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed Yes13c41,058$5,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2795514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b8…3bfcbacked Yes12c39,252$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked No78c36,221$28,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,902.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdcc…e559backed Yes6c29,041$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.761020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2154…715cbacked No74c22,100$16,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,798.792142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24b1…48eebacked Yes2c21,929$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes11c21,178$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.625735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28ae…15e0backed Yes24c20,558$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c19,814$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.632290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes19c15,141$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.231030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes11c13,210$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.716527.7%18 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…cedfbacked Yes13c13,100$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed No76c11,972$9,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.172445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c11,970$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.4164812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes5c11,235$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.8405%2 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bd…c91fbacked Yes8c11,174$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes0c10,509$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851360%0 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Yes17c9,888$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.932941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes14c9,800$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3721513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x711c…8495backed Yes1c9,724$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ba…5e2dbacked No79c9,279$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes8c8,967$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.318713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9758…536dbacked Yes11c8,505$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3a…8938backed Yes8c8,300$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.492218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes7c8,074$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.81333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1032…8f91backed Yes19c8,009$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.293847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886b…0c62backed Yes8c7,988$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes11c7,556$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402313%3 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842d…9c19backed Yes3c7,488$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.69616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09db…c089backed Yes5c6,989$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.92128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-86.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd74…6425backed No79c6,780$5,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes1c6,122$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2970%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x667f…ccbebacked Yes10c6,104$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.822714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94da…4438backed Yes21c6,024$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes0c6,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512c…d419backed Yes6c5,664$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.852828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cf…75d1backed No75c5,494$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x509c…e581backed Yes9c5,356$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.92911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes17c4,947$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes15c4,818$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.072850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes25c4,783$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.738619.8%17 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fd…eebebacked Yes22c4,630$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ff…c3bfbacked Yes7c4,494$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8a…5a65backed Yes11c4,457$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed No77c4,405$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.043351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed Yes5c4,351$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235336.1%2 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-82.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes24c4,010$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.715023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1275…203cbacked No80c4,000$3,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.311040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9af…05adbacked Yes25c4,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9806018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb36…09f3backed Yes17c3,899$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No75c3,500$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.7314075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa601…d54ebacked Yes25c3,500$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8603732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes14c3,394$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.6211316.8%19 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…f3bfbacked Yes1c3,071$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43d…df8ebacked No78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9dc…9026backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cb…fbf5backed Yes4c2,906$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.262142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd321…a77fbacked No76c2,702$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.784763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37f…9be5backed Yes1c2,682$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes12c2,622$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes22c2,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5607327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41fe…79c1backed Yes7c2,494$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.713923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed No80c2,260$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.9214337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes8c2,222$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.772948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick32cpaid+36.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a7b…55bebacked Yes6c2,177$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6290%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbfd…0029backed No73c2,175$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.161643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked No78c2,134$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.183855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes3c2,105$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.223823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7948…9917backed Yes17c2,027$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca4…9837backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803721.6%8 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16b8…5201backed Yes23c1,927$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes11c1,847$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.793426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes14c1,847$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3311619%22 W · 94 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x909e…766bbacked Yes6c1,801$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14af…52e5backed No77c1,734$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.145100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf9…f593backed No78c1,732$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-70.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fb…c224backed Yes10c1,690$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e02…5696backed Yes20c1,650$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes19c1,500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9711442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702520%5 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685b…69efbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes32c1,386$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.942634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61b…31dfbacked No77c1,370$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.13875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed No74c1,358$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5934848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes12c1,356$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No79c1,334$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.259054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes6c1,305$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3817229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcddf…2396backed No77c1,303$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed No79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.332227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-58.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No79c1,238$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.113237.5%12 W · 20 L-11.2wins-0.35per pick72cpaid-50.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xb592…8ffcbacked Yes8c1,230$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.