Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26aec6c2101b4f1f21786408cee684b54eeb97f145ed03a722eaf2bfd5659bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,251,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,394,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,251,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed Yes | 64c | 285,048$181,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,768.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 29c | 141,258$41,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,479.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 80c | 131,137$104,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,660.02 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed No | 51c | 106,853$54,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,816.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…1017backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 48c | 99,482$47,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,526.47 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 62c | 94,499$58,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,970.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 54c | 92,028$49,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,264.68 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 82,402$43,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,164.2 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 51c | 70,613$35,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,747.75 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed No | 54c | 67,399$36,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,618.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 55c | 65,558$35,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,959.68 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…9766backed No | 35c | 56,472$19,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,605.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…4193backed Yes | 77c | 47,723$36,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 50c | 44,029$22,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,995.66 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed No | 26c | 37,574$9,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,802.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…5189backed No | 54c | 37,163$20,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,178 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 42c | 35,373$14,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,402.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 54c | 33,780$18,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,387.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 57c | 33,731$19,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,420.23 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 38c | 29,698$11,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,270.36 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 79c | 28,530$22,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 13c | 26,284$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.06 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed No | 55c | 24,102$13,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,365.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 49c | 23,552$11,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,989.04 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 30c | 23,498$7,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,115.29 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…68abbacked No | 65c | 22,952$14,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,853.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked No | 41c | 22,437$9,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,139.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked No | 48c | 20,660$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…51b8backed No | 46c | 20,000$9,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,298.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed No | 35c | 19,749$6,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,908.34 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 56c | 18,663$10,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 54c | 16,370$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,479.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes | 60c | 15,226$9,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…0c62backed Yes | 62c | 14,418$8,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,543.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 57c | 14,391$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked No | 11c | 14,360$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 71c | 13,612$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.23 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 49c | 12,586$6,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 53c | 12,324$6,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…010bbacked Yes | 78c | 12,047$9,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…14dcbacked Yes | 60c | 11,597$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 45c | 11,484$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 34c | 10,863$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.63 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…1819backed No | 19c | 10,218$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 24c | 10,000$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…d878backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…018ebacked No | 60c | 9,600$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 62c | 9,524$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.25 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2224backed No | 49c | 8,889$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 33c | 8,792$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.81 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 43c | 8,436$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.09 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f1c1backed Yes | 48c | 8,395$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 72c | 8,034$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 7,719$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.82 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 78c | 7,000$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 68c | 6,963$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.05 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 58c | 6,897$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.12 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…a170backed Yes | 32c | 6,797$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 62c | 6,750$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 54c | 6,595$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 12c | 6,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 34c | 5,903$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 38c | 5,874$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.7 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 62c | 5,548$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…1fbabacked Yes | 32c | 5,542$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 47c | 5,315$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…357cbacked No | 9c | 5,302$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 43c | 5,300$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.73 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 31c | 5,208$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 63c | 5,201$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.18 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 46c | 5,111$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.22 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…5613backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 36c | 4,867$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.15 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 33c | 4,758$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.09 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…48eebacked Yes | 78c | 4,698$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked No | 21c | 4,674$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.02 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 19c | 4,402$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.5 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked No | 13c | 4,241$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 50c | 4,118$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…88e3backed Yes | 46c | 4,061$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 62c | 4,049$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 26c | 4,010$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 42c | 3,982$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…8f10backed No | 35c | 3,853$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed No | 66c | 3,840$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…d575backed Yes | 65c | 3,810$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 58c | 3,700$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 59c | 3,684$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.52 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked No | 29c | 3,583$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 56c | 3,579$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 41c | 3,559$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.44 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 36c | 3,500$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 50c | 3,500$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.06 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 11c | 3,200$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…dd49backed No | 49c | 3,175$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 56c | 3,097$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.77 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 38c | 3,029$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.47 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.