Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c4a3aadb3984092c07f5d1e952c9b9519a3bedcc528287cdad5a3021d648840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,978,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,029,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,978,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x886b…0c62backed Yes | 24c | 123,003$29,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,445.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 2c | 110,028$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 21c | 83,635$17,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,820.77 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 24c | 76,060$18,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,202 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…68abbacked No | 70c | 75,010$52,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,235.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…3103backed Yes | 37c | 70,057$25,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,699.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed No | 78c | 61,377$47,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,700.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 77c | 58,329$44,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,694.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 18c | 47,504$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,376.23 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 68c | 46,829$31,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,203.51 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 22c | 45,058$9,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.2 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 77c | 41,112$31,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,537.13 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 26c | 37,790$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.58 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 73c | 34,413$25,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,185.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 26c | 34,371$8,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.3 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 31,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 79c | 29,136$22,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 28,466$8,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,326.64 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed No | 60c | 26,240$15,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,590.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 2c | 24,117$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…d732backed No | 76c | 22,937$17,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 21c | 22,595$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 21c | 20,561$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 18,999$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 2c | 17,536$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 24c | 17,147$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.92 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e559backed Yes | 15c | 16,760$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed No | 52c | 16,536$8,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…3bfcbacked Yes | 11c | 16,112$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 23c | 15,517$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.31 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 24c | 15,258$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.29 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 25c | 14,869$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.38 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 0c | 14,478$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 59c | 12,472$7,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 11,843$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 5c | 11,528$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…6646backed Yes | 14c | 11,393$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 75c | 10,733$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 9,557$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.79 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 76c | 8,648$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 8,568$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.11 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Yes | 51c | 8,503$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 64c | 8,131$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.78 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…390fbacked Yes | 29c | 7,494$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8855backed Yes | 29c | 7,273$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…bd29backed Yes | 3c | 7,110$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked No | 72c | 6,854$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed No | 71c | 6,053$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 57c | 5,782$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.46 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 16c | 5,282$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.59 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509c…e581backed Yes | 26c | 5,250$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 55c | 5,160$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…8938backed Yes | 17c | 5,079$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9d35backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…e494backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 71c | 4,800$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 76c | 4,164$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.55 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 58c | 4,131$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed Yes | 14c | 4,097$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 11c | 4,029$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.57 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,995$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…d7c0backed Yes | 25c | 3,977$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 67c | 3,867$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 0c | 3,867$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…cddabacked Yes | 1c | 3,757$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…3dafbacked Yes | 1c | 3,663$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 76c | 3,505$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 72c | 3,467$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.78 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…a2edbacked No | 59c | 3,355$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,347$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.51 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 53c | 3,310$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 70c | 3,260$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.02 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…c91fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,987$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 27c | 2,846$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 59c | 2,808$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.63 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 62c | 2,717$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 31c | 2,715$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,600$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…2415backed Yes | 2c | 2,585$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 18c | 2,521$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 64c | 2,489$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 42c | 2,384$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked No | 76c | 2,370$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 16c | 2,235$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.29 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…0d2bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,119$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 2,046$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.29 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 18c | 2,010$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Yes | 32c | 2,007$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.68 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,006$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.49 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed No | 75c | 1,993$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.15 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa20e…b72abacked Yes | 2c | 1,942$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked No | 66c | 1,931$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 17c | 1,826$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…0ec5backed No | 77c | 1,823$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.