TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,978,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,029,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,978,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x886b…0c62backed Yes24c123,003$29,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,445.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes2c110,028$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.391010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-83.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes21c83,635$17,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,820.7722216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ae…15e0backed Yes24c76,060$18,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,2021822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d49…68abbacked No70c75,010$52,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,235.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb66…3103backed Yes37c70,057$25,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,699.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63e9…e1a1backed No78c61,377$47,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,700.531266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x323b…9fe7backed No77c58,329$44,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,694.082665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x512c…d419backed Yes18c47,504$8,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,376.232828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd02…aba7backed No68c46,829$31,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,203.516124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes22c45,058$9,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,944.258126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No77c41,112$31,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.1363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed Yes26c37,790$9,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,689.585514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3238…3291backed No73c34,413$25,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,185.491553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes26c34,371$8,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.337745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes2c31,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506417.2%11 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+163.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed No79c29,136$22,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.331573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes29c28,466$8,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,326.6487828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed No60c26,240$15,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,590.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-71.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes2c24,117$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4470%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b29…d732backed No76c22,937$17,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb068…80a2backed Yes21c22,595$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.051338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Yes21c20,561$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c18,999$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe162…8a81backed Yes2c17,536$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes24c17,147$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.926527.7%18 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcc…e559backed Yes15c16,760$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.241020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed No52c16,536$8,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,000.652445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b8…3bfcbacked Yes11c16,112$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes23c15,517$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.31180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes24c15,258$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,727.2911442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes25c14,869$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.385735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes0c14,478$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.26120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked No59c12,472$7,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,158.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67d…1f8abacked Yes1c11,843$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09db…c089backed Yes5c11,528$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.92128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-86.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a0…6646backed Yes14c11,393$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed No75c10,733$8,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.114047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes7c9,557$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.79405%2 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed No76c8,648$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.033351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c8,568$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.1164812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed Yes51c8,503$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2941163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed No64c8,131$5,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.7814337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes29c7,494$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cf…8855backed Yes29c7,273$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…bd29backed Yes3c7,110$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.93616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d9…653ebacked No72c6,854$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7e…d472backed No71c6,053$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.291770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd643…0dd4backed No57c5,782$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.4610545.7%48 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0066…394fbacked Yes16c5,282$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.596119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x509c…e581backed Yes26c5,250$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.35911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-79.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes55c5,160$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.611662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…8938backed Yes17c5,079$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.22218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…9d35backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…e494backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…b2d3backed No71c4,800$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3695639.3%22 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1d63backed No76c4,164$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.557229.2%21 W · 51 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Yes58c4,131$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.93825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeba7…fea3backed Yes14c4,097$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.61425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed Yes11c4,029$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.57336.1%2 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-82.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes57c4,000$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cae…f15ebacked Yes24c3,995$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592c…d7c0backed Yes25c3,977$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecef…b593backed No67c3,867$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes0c3,867$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102516%4 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…cddabacked Yes1c3,757$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d3…3dafbacked Yes1c3,663$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2b…de3abacked No76c3,505$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.563259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No72c3,467$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.789054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e05…a2edbacked No59c3,355$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes33c3,347$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.512850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed No53c3,310$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No70c3,260$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.0255032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bd…c91fbacked Yes16c2,987$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes27c2,846$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.952634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd321…a77fbacked No59c2,808$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.634763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No62c2,717$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes31c2,715$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850110%0 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes15c2,600$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.53240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf289…2415backed Yes2c2,585$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc8…7d08backed Yes18c2,521$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-64.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes23c2,500$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56560%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd561…9b7bbacked No80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes15c2,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802520%5 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a9…73e8backed No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8751266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf162…ba35backed No64c2,489$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes42c2,384$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked No76c2,370$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes16c2,235$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.2928021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b2…0d2bbacked Yes47c2,119$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes45c2,046$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.297327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed Yes18c2,010$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.34231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd078…1614backed Yes32c2,007$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.681816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes32c2,006$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.497540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fa…30bebacked Yes21c2,000$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed No75c1,993$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1510100%10 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa20e…b72abacked Yes2c1,942$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…205bbacked No66c1,931$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.643351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes17c1,826$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe8…0ec5backed No77c1,823$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.221258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.