TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80e0…7ffa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Music, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Music at 61 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$309
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,415Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+87.4%+$1,236.01
Will Solana reach $210 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.92
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$789.25
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,266.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$483.85
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will Solana dip to $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,488
Will Solana dip to $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Solana reach $190 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,409
Will Solana reach $250 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Solana dip to $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,216
Will Solana dip to $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$712.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,004.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+281%+$3,197.05
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$414.29
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+458.9%+$1,344.55
Will Solana reach $170 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$305
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.13
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$141.59
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$45
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$308.7
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+99.6%+$66.73
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$512.39
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,017.62
Will the Liberals win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.24
Will Labor win the Seat of Bennelong in the 2025 Australian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.3
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,808.9
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$274.85
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,013.79
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Nova Scotia in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.3
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.45
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$33.21
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$97.5
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.41
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$737.95
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.9
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$812.4
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$435.6
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$110
All 23 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+93.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$142.87
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$73.68
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$251
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.8
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$150.47
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+97.8%+$290.09
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+108.8%+$268.63
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+164.6%+$439.33
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+150.7%+$210.58
Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+409.3%+$132.61
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+572.7%+$133.21
Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.65
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Belgium qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+238.8%+$335.23
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$238.21
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+187.8%+$52.19
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+262.8%+$313.23
Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$31.9
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$142.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+97.5%+$318.82
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+50%+$100
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.2
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.46
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$609.09
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+889%+$562.71
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$235.04
Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?backed Lower · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,310.5
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+115.4%+$1,269.08
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+48.3%+$984.93
Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$105
Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+45.6%+$45.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$110.2
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$676.19
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+102.2%+$328.5
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$51.3
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.55
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+99.4%+$412.23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$85.42
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Claude 4 released in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+44.1%+$43
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.42
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$61.21
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$167.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$223
Will Dogecoin reach $0.22 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.49
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$303.56
Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+75.6%+$228.65
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+43.3%+$194.85
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+71.5%+$413
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+67.4%+$136.22
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+88.3%+$247.29
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+68.4%+$654.06
Will Dogecoin reach $0.45 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$316.7
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$257.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+300%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+40%+$473.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.