Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58f519146df63df91949d8667cba89d6b17dcab53b0d286b837a660d4947525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 11c | 18,240$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.73 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 52c | 9,415$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.89 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 78c | 7,762$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 27c | 4,443$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.23 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 15c | 3,950$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,742$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.71 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 4c | 2,614$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 10c | 2,376$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,189$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Yes | 38c | 2,082$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,021$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.67 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.57 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 69c | 1,991$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.22 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,988$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.21 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 31c | 1,869$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.59 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 30c | 1,616$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.05 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,529$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.45 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,505$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.65 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…ada5backed Yes | 30c | 1,446$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 15c | 1,324$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 25c | 1,142$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 58c | 1,117$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.1 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 17c | 1,023$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 62c | 1,012$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…521cbacked No | 27c | 973.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 913.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 42c | 896.45$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed Yes | 24c | 882.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 39c | 870.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 28c | 800$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.98 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 71c | 799.22$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 58c | 777.3$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…e66bbacked Yes | 35c | 766.35$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked No | 73c | 733.03$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 28c | 723.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.9 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 46c | 716.1$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 20c | 700$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 67c | 670.36$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.86 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 43c | 658.91$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.74 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 26c | 650$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.15 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451e…65a2backed Yes | 32c | 616.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 42c | 602.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.19 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…9cabbacked No | 69c | 576.22$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 575.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.25 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 42c | 573.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed Yes | 33c | 529.92$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 61c | 505$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.21 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…8b51backed Yes | 27c | 500$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 66c | 499.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 20c | 487.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…7a93backed No | 72c | 485.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 34c | 470$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes | 24c | 467.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 30c | 462.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.75 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 46c | 434.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 39c | 390.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 32c | 383.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.34 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…5dbebacked Yes | 26c | 379.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…c5ddbacked Yes | 52c | 378.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 40c | 371.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…aa5abacked Yes | 34c | 370.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…2a3ebacked No | 9c | 364.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 30c | 363.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.95 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed No | 73c | 362.73$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 28c | 357.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 73c | 351.55$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.73 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 23c | 333.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 71c | 328.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 26c | 326.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…d43ebacked Yes | 26c | 320.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 72c | 310.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…746abacked Yes | 32c | 293.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…ba7abacked Yes | 54c | 276.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…1240backed Yes | 42c | 274.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 70c | 273$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b5a5backed No | 78c | 255.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 25c | 249.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 56c | 249$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 29c | 246.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b892backed No | 74c | 241.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 11c | 230.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee52…cc8dbacked No | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…f722backed No | 74c | 208$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…2d2cbacked Yes | 24c | 205.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639b…99e7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…ae75backed Yes | 30c | 198.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 56c | 195.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 79c | 190.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…b0c0backed No | 74c | 184.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 22c | 181.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 60c | 166.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…9b54backed Yes | 34c | 161.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 48c | 154.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…9dd5backed Yes | 36c | 148.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.