TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0faf…d0d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
310
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT17347.4%82 W · 91 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.88
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$21.49
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$353.62
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$38.37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$59.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+141%+$715.07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,578.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$606.82
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$92.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$147.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$1,305.76
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$3,658.33
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$1,756.05
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$66.85
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$371.27
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$841.83
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.94
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,943.77
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$39.39
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.75
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$148.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$42.71
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+243.6%+$58.47
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.78
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+57.9%+$202.33
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.33
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$330.65
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$17.46
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$199.12
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$536.31
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+300%+$219.33
Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.69
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+25%+$61.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+733.3%+$205.33
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$826.82
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,270.63
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$360.24
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35.26
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.5%+$12.62
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$187.14
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$75.93
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.04
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.9
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.76
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+120.7%+$175.65
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$476.4
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$276.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-66.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$50.49
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.4
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$87.07
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.47
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+545.2%+$986.68
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+43.1%+$8.18
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.05
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.9%+$106.81
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$21.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$63.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AIK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.