Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb4d49cc8dee48431b1c169fa387b58e089b960036f194ac0ee455dbad8f383d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,310,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,313,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 20c | 37,975$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 8c | 25,000$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.61 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 20,999$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…a9d6backed Yes | 21c | 18,711$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 15,278$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.76 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 5c | 14,911$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.63 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…ed1fbacked Yes | 12c | 13,103$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 8c | 13,063$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.78 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 12c | 12,945$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 11c | 12,697$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,241$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793b…3afcbacked Yes | 5c | 10,668$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 76c | 10,420$7,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…cb1ebacked Yes | 4c | 9,565$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…2f88backed Yes | 19c | 9,136$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…8931backed Yes | 5c | 8,882$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 8,258$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 6c | 8,000$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.77 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,967$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…d480backed Yes | 7c | 7,881$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +338.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 1c | 7,463$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…312ebacked Yes | 6c | 7,279$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…e21fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 6,860$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.84 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 5c | 6,709$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,347$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 6,156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…4926backed Yes | 20c | 5,915$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,859$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Yes | 5c | 5,775$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 7c | 5,704$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.72 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…64a5backed Yes | 11c | 5,645$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 11c | 5,595$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…0495backed Yes | 22c | 5,548$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 10c | 5,447$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.9 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…92e0backed Yes | 18c | 5,421$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 5,388$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 3c | 5,328$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…7382backed Yes | 0c | 4,540$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 4,363$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 5c | 4,349$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…df81backed Yes | 0c | 4,229$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 8c | 4,137$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 26c | 3,900$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,778$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 6c | 3,693$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…f9cabacked Yes | 22c | 3,550$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…04fcbacked Yes | 7c | 3,500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 10c | 3,406$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.58 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa339…92b6backed Yes | 6c | 3,308$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…9be3backed Yes | 4c | 3,210$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…5a75backed Yes | 8c | 3,129$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.1 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…9bdbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,804$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…8974backed Yes | 5c | 2,689$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 22c | 2,618$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…f655backed Yes | 6c | 2,544$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 2,487$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,407$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 2,396$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 2,352$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.89 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 8c | 2,282$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…f948backed Yes | 20c | 2,258$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…d639backed Yes | 4c | 2,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,103$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 22c | 2,087$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…ccf4backed Yes | 5c | 2,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.48 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…1b46backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…9b93backed Yes | 10c | 1,789$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…35f0backed Yes | 24c | 1,772$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Yes | 13c | 1,705$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9de3backed Yes | 15c | 1,674$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 6c | 1,637$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…e59cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,572$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +401.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…fa1fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,531$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed No | 80c | 1,525$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…69fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,506$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 1c | 1,501$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…6e83backed Yes | 10c | 1,475$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,471$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…a3f6backed Yes | 15c | 1,444$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…ce0cbacked No | 71c | 1,400$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…f78cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,296$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 19c | 1,279$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,260$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 6c | 1,199$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,184$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf12…56c3backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +282.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed Yes | 6c | 1,090$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…f39dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,012$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 75c | 1,000$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.